{"id":"W4414473518","doi":"10.1111/iere.70005","title":"Productive Misallocation and International Transmission of Credit Shocks","year":2025,"lang":"en","type":"article","venue":"International Economic Review","topic":"Banking stability, regulation, efficiency","field":"Economics, Econometrics and Finance","cited_by":0,"is_retracted":false,"has_abstract":true,"ca_institutions":"Bank of Canada","funders":"","keywords":"Collateral; Business cycle; Shock (circulatory); Recession; General equilibrium theory; Productivity; Investment (military); Balance of trade; Transmission channel","routes":{"ca_aff":true,"ca_fund":false,"ca_venue":false,"about_ca":true,"invisible_to_affiliation_only":false},"retraction":null,"screen":null,"direct_labels":[],"prediction":{"model_version":"codex-gemma-dda1882f352a","candidate_categories":[],"consensus_categories":[],"category_scores_codex":[0.0006974468,0.0001168889,0.0003287235,0.0002225923,0.00003478305,0.00003205613,0.0003510696,0.00005354612,0.000822548],"category_scores_gemma":[0.000206923,0.0001337522,0.0001002308,0.00009207815,0.00008858674,0.0002770415,0.00006044596,0.00007644379,0.00006766687],"about_ca_system_candidate":false,"about_ca_system_consensus":false,"about_ca_system_score_codex":0.0002493465,"about_ca_system_score_gemma":0.00005412752,"about_ca_topic_candidate":false,"about_ca_topic_consensus":false,"about_ca_topic_score_codex":0.00006060626,"about_ca_topic_score_gemma":0.000006679573,"domain_scores_codex":[0.9985278,0.00001678589,0.0008977867,0.000425497,0.00003711451,0.00009504073],"domain_scores_gemma":[0.9991618,0.00006338241,0.0004146369,0.0002370799,0.00009648264,0.00002657762],"domain_codex":null,"domain_gemma":null,"domain_candidate":null,"domain_consensus":null,"study_design_codex":"theoretical_or_conceptual","study_design_gemma":"not_applicable","study_design_scores_codex":[0.00004125087,0.0002340838,0.08452736,0.001095028,0.0003267758,3.494474e-7,0.0003010585,0.0003772618,0.00007224747,0.6867947,0.005434063,0.2207958],"study_design_scores_gemma":[0.0008104657,0.0000400266,0.1368745,0.001656072,0.00003378934,0.000009535933,0.00002316158,0.01047402,0.0003209217,0.1335254,0.7158881,0.0003439813],"study_design_candidate":"theoretical_or_conceptual","study_design_consensus":null,"genre_codex":"empirical","genre_gemma":"empirical","genre_scores_codex":[0.3029638,0.2773035,0.04269078,0.07303591,0.01090475,0.002717117,0.0005915845,0.0001467152,0.2896459],"genre_scores_gemma":[0.95726,0.03748403,0.00147288,0.000441614,0.0001789415,0.00005810076,0.00009297243,0.00001512585,0.002996348],"genre_candidate":"empirical","genre_consensus":"empirical","teacher_disagreement_score":0.710454,"threshold_uncertainty_score":0.9006324,"prediction_status":"machine_predicted_unvalidated"},"machine_scores":{"provisional":true,"baseline":true,"maturity_gate_passed":false,"score_opus":0.02382882281642011,"score_gpt":0.2799129157572646,"score_spread":0.2560840929408445,"validation_status":"score_only:v0-immature-baseline","note":"Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed). Scores rank; they never assert a category."}}