{"id":"W4414473518","doi":"10.1111/iere.70005","title":"Productive Misallocation and International Transmission of Credit Shocks","year":2025,"lang":"en","type":"article","venue":"International Economic Review","topic":"Banking stability, regulation, efficiency","field":"Economics, Econometrics and Finance","cited_by":0,"is_retracted":false,"has_abstract":true,"ca_institutions":"Bank of Canada","funders":"","keywords":"Collateral; Business cycle; Shock (circulatory); Recession; General equilibrium theory; Productivity; Investment (military); Balance of trade; Transmission channel","routes":{"ca_aff":true,"ca_fund":false,"ca_venue":false,"about_ca":true,"invisible_to_affiliation_only":false},"retraction":null,"screen":null,"direct_labels":[],"prediction":{"model_version":"metacan-v3-hybrid-931329e0061c","candidate_categories":[],"consensus_categories":[],"category_scores_codex":[0.001190391,0.0001916095,0.0004032847,0.001046559,0.0003063684,0.002594688,0.0003475258,0.0007497711,0.003378272],"category_scores_gemma":[0.005931146,0.0002255455,0.0003091729,0.001097425,0.0008679731,0.001253552,0.0008654217,0.0004986456,0.0002301731],"about_ca_system_candidate":false,"about_ca_system_consensus":false,"about_ca_system_score_codex":0.001694298,"about_ca_system_score_gemma":0.0006732383,"about_ca_topic_candidate":false,"about_ca_topic_consensus":false,"about_ca_topic_score_codex":0.01361702,"about_ca_topic_score_gemma":0.005978879,"domain_scores_codex":[0.9997523,0.00008676948,0.00001756604,0.0000351309,0.00004531688,0.00006291627],"domain_scores_gemma":[0.9973136,0.001117109,0.0009587278,0.0002040901,0.0002965495,0.0001099882],"domain_codex":null,"domain_gemma":null,"domain_candidate":null,"domain_consensus":null,"study_design_codex":"theoretical_or_conceptual","study_design_gemma":"observational","study_design_scores_codex":[0.0005883529,0.0002739299,0.2141398,0.0002748065,0.0003999363,0.001415737,0.001722052,0.2683031,0.006291872,0.3966316,0.005759206,0.1041996],"study_design_scores_gemma":[0.0001825943,0.0002463271,0.3826188,0.0003185962,0.0004284613,0.0008419667,0.003131865,0.280457,0.003751681,0.3123657,0.01554966,0.000107528],"study_design_candidate":"observational","study_design_consensus":null,"genre_codex":"empirical","genre_gemma":"empirical","genre_scores_codex":[0.9657158,0.002507945,0.009362184,0.001418803,0.00002823723,0.00002254603,0.0002117918,0.00004398632,0.02068876],"genre_scores_gemma":[0.9980294,0.0008329396,0.0002008883,0.00003315063,0.0000129278,0.000002532452,0.00003299879,0.00000348364,0.0008516313],"genre_candidate":"empirical","genre_consensus":"empirical","teacher_disagreement_score":0.01361702,"threshold_uncertainty_score":0.02707553,"prediction_status":"machine_predicted_unvalidated"},"machine_scores":{"provisional":true,"baseline":true,"maturity_gate_passed":false,"score_opus":0.02382882281642011,"score_gpt":0.2799129157572646,"score_spread":0.2560840929408445,"validation_status":"score_only:v0-immature-baseline","note":"Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed). Scores rank; they never assert a category."}}