{"id":"W4414552012","doi":"10.1016/j.actaastro.2025.09.069","title":"2032 and 2036 risk enhancement from NEOs in the Taurid stream: Is there a significant coherent component to impact risk?","year":2025,"lang":"en","type":"article","venue":"Acta Astronautica","topic":"Astro and Planetary Science","field":"Physics and Astronomy","cited_by":1,"is_retracted":false,"has_abstract":false,"ca_institutions":"Western University","funders":"Office of Defense Programs; Los Alamos National Laboratory; Natural Sciences and Engineering Research Council of Canada; National Nuclear Security Administration; Solar System Exploration Research Virtual Institute; National Aeronautics and Space Administration; U.S. Department of Energy","keywords":"Component (thermodynamics); Event (particle physics); Object (grammar); Population; Set (abstract data type); Comet; Cluster (spacecraft)","routes":{"ca_aff":true,"ca_fund":true,"ca_venue":false,"about_ca":false,"invisible_to_affiliation_only":false},"retraction":null,"screen":null,"direct_labels":[],"prediction":{"model_version":"codex-gemma-dda1882f352a","candidate_categories":["insufficient_payload"],"consensus_categories":[],"category_scores_codex":[0.0002793654,0.0002555326,0.0002568454,0.00006060735,0.0001583383,0.0001120671,0.0004196032,0.00003097558,0.001891201],"category_scores_gemma":[0.000007282475,0.0001679201,0.00007974028,0.0002010775,0.0000796765,0.00008980582,0.000111518,0.0003431576,0.000068277],"about_ca_system_candidate":false,"about_ca_system_consensus":false,"about_ca_system_score_codex":0.00003586752,"about_ca_system_score_gemma":0.00009055017,"about_ca_topic_candidate":true,"about_ca_topic_consensus":false,"about_ca_topic_score_codex":0.01125757,"about_ca_topic_score_gemma":0.0001464931,"domain_scores_codex":[0.9983951,0.0001869519,0.0002835981,0.0004327445,0.0002564115,0.0004451882],"domain_scores_gemma":[0.9989755,0.0003010163,0.00012241,0.0004425244,0.00001983655,0.0001386828],"domain_codex":null,"domain_gemma":null,"domain_candidate":null,"domain_consensus":null,"study_design_codex":"observational","study_design_gemma":"observational","study_design_scores_codex":[0.0001038347,0.0002739129,0.9286333,0.00000310314,0.0001474986,0.000002514548,0.001384196,0.0002540169,0.001309051,0.0001836466,0.01037383,0.05733115],"study_design_scores_gemma":[0.0005653035,0.0002504055,0.9814236,0.00005201573,0.00008173066,1.784132e-7,0.001523711,0.002999406,0.0006108008,0.000580067,0.01171891,0.0001939003],"study_design_candidate":"observational","study_design_consensus":"observational","genre_codex":"empirical","genre_gemma":"empirical","genre_scores_codex":[0.9898229,0.0001340261,0.004647264,0.001098148,0.0000909229,0.0005538074,0.001249921,0.00001013253,0.002392902],"genre_scores_gemma":[0.998524,0.00001809697,0.0008432879,0.0001492552,0.00007720129,0.00004186782,0.0001196123,0.000006761383,0.0002199818],"genre_candidate":"empirical","genre_consensus":"empirical","teacher_disagreement_score":0.05713725,"threshold_uncertainty_score":0.9990212,"prediction_status":"machine_predicted_unvalidated"},"machine_scores":{"provisional":true,"baseline":true,"maturity_gate_passed":false,"score_opus":0.006371300067978735,"score_gpt":0.2464688358876676,"score_spread":0.2400975358196888,"validation_status":"score_only:v0-immature-baseline","note":"Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed). Scores rank; they never assert a category."}}