{"id":"W4414598015","doi":"10.5380/re.v46i89.96994","title":"Las fluctuaciones económicas en los países del MERCOSUR: Algunos hechos estilizados (1997-2022)","year":2025,"lang":"en","type":"article","venue":"Revista de Economia","topic":"Business, Innovation, and Economy","field":"Economics, Econometrics and Finance","cited_by":0,"is_retracted":false,"has_abstract":true,"ca_institutions":"","funders":"","keywords":"Volatility (finance); Business cycle; Homogeneous; Quarter (Canadian coin); Balance of trade; Consumption (sociology)","routes":{"ca_aff":false,"ca_fund":false,"ca_venue":false,"about_ca":true,"invisible_to_affiliation_only":true},"retraction":null,"screen":null,"direct_labels":[],"prediction":{"model_version":"codex-gemma-dda1882f352a","candidate_categories":["metaepi_narrow","insufficient_payload"],"consensus_categories":["insufficient_payload"],"category_scores_codex":[0.00104726,0.0004366763,0.001002669,0.0006594666,0.0002765503,0.0003782807,0.0006363873,0.0003337585,0.002786182],"category_scores_gemma":[0.0003182708,0.0005582187,0.0002767618,0.0005889516,0.0001260886,0.0007318329,0.0001549839,0.0003254824,0.002172105],"about_ca_system_candidate":false,"about_ca_system_consensus":false,"about_ca_system_score_codex":0.0005893873,"about_ca_system_score_gemma":0.0002099558,"about_ca_topic_candidate":false,"about_ca_topic_consensus":false,"about_ca_topic_score_codex":0.0001930862,"about_ca_topic_score_gemma":0.00007446912,"domain_scores_codex":[0.9967172,0.00004214802,0.001628708,0.0009391753,0.00002890472,0.0006438304],"domain_scores_gemma":[0.9980272,0.0002244492,0.0006230331,0.0008994889,0.00008983359,0.0001360088],"domain_codex":null,"domain_gemma":null,"domain_candidate":null,"domain_consensus":null,"study_design_codex":"observational","study_design_gemma":"not_applicable","study_design_scores_codex":[0.00004599945,0.000139983,0.5595294,0.0003979971,0.0003017468,0.000008700807,0.000181542,0.0001607393,0.00003334057,0.4037151,0.02815889,0.007326533],"study_design_scores_gemma":[0.001041271,0.00003558453,0.1021287,0.0001205381,0.00004091382,0.00001872252,0.00008016641,0.003874863,0.0002785353,0.02431309,0.8673018,0.0007658787],"study_design_candidate":"not_applicable","study_design_consensus":null,"genre_codex":"empirical","genre_gemma":"empirical","genre_scores_codex":[0.950164,0.008115597,0.005373123,0.001656926,0.001303822,0.000774217,0.0005878956,0.000224561,0.03179989],"genre_scores_gemma":[0.9886737,0.001670893,0.001325306,0.002080688,0.0004445202,0.0002551311,0.0001778113,0.00007573382,0.005296201],"genre_candidate":"empirical","genre_consensus":"empirical","teacher_disagreement_score":0.8391429,"threshold_uncertainty_score":0.999687,"prediction_status":"machine_predicted_unvalidated"},"machine_scores":{"provisional":true,"baseline":true,"maturity_gate_passed":false,"score_opus":0.01675436443365836,"score_gpt":0.2346923699312477,"score_spread":0.2179380054975894,"validation_status":"score_only:v0-immature-baseline","note":"Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed). Scores rank; they never assert a category."}}