{"id":"W4414769574","doi":"10.1101/2025.09.30.678981","title":"Dynamic Lake Ice Conditions Shape Caribou Water-Crossing Behavior in the Arctic","year":2025,"lang":"en","type":"preprint","venue":"bioRxiv (Cold Spring Harbor Laboratory)","topic":"Arctic and Antarctic ice dynamics","field":"Earth and Planetary Sciences","cited_by":0,"is_retracted":false,"has_abstract":true,"ca_institutions":"","funders":"National Science Foundation","keywords":"Arctic; Ice-albedo feedback; Arctic ice pack; Thermokarst; Climate change; Cryosphere; Spring (device); Sea ice","routes":{"ca_aff":false,"ca_fund":false,"ca_venue":false,"about_ca":true,"invisible_to_affiliation_only":true},"retraction":null,"screen":null,"direct_labels":[],"prediction":{"model_version":"metacan-v3-hybrid-931329e0061c","candidate_categories":[],"consensus_categories":[],"category_scores_codex":[0.0002680851,0.0001589443,0.0001855223,0.000452076,0.0004325348,0.000766042,0.0001593715,0.0002141957,0.0009827727],"category_scores_gemma":[0.0008959669,0.0001392526,0.0002225354,0.0004317772,0.0002907701,0.0002393966,0.0002721445,0.0001527446,0.00009846378],"about_ca_system_candidate":false,"about_ca_system_consensus":false,"about_ca_system_score_codex":0.001100687,"about_ca_system_score_gemma":0.0008959587,"about_ca_topic_candidate":false,"about_ca_topic_consensus":false,"about_ca_topic_score_codex":0.4099143,"about_ca_topic_score_gemma":0.6586297,"domain_scores_codex":[0.9999131,0.0000184319,0.000003782939,0.00002094289,0.00001164308,0.00003204264],"domain_scores_gemma":[0.9996285,0.00008485515,0.0001091438,0.00001737395,0.00007191461,0.00008824735],"domain_codex":null,"domain_gemma":null,"domain_candidate":null,"domain_consensus":null,"study_design_codex":"observational","study_design_gemma":"observational","study_design_scores_codex":[0.00006146681,0.00001765966,0.9956216,0.000005349676,0.00003409925,0.00003610269,0.0003281413,0.00146438,0.001125542,0.00003591566,0.0001204207,0.001149302],"study_design_scores_gemma":[0.000001403488,0.00001410545,0.9938115,0.00000511651,0.00001383069,0.00001707333,0.0009136379,0.004911922,0.0001087882,0.00003907519,0.0001589976,0.000004536834],"study_design_candidate":"observational","study_design_consensus":"observational","genre_codex":"empirical","genre_gemma":"empirical","genre_scores_codex":[0.9996662,0.0000197586,0.00005337138,0.000009401168,7.471673e-7,6.451184e-7,0.00009196874,0.000002294199,0.0001556796],"genre_scores_gemma":[0.9997771,0.00001387817,0.00003435108,0.000003277826,4.886442e-7,7.782328e-7,0.00009041859,0.000001131387,0.00007857014],"genre_candidate":"empirical","genre_consensus":"empirical","teacher_disagreement_score":0.4099143,"threshold_uncertainty_score":0.8150567,"prediction_status":"machine_predicted_unvalidated"},"machine_scores":{"provisional":true,"baseline":true,"maturity_gate_passed":false,"score_opus":0.01085295475362927,"score_gpt":0.2227956852578976,"score_spread":0.2119427305042683,"validation_status":"score_only:v0-immature-baseline","note":"Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed). Scores rank; they never assert a category."}}