{"id":"W4414786394","doi":"10.2139/ssrn.5513898","title":"The Great Luxury Goods Slowdown: Why €360 Billion in Sales Is No Longer Enough","year":2025,"lang":"en","type":"preprint","venue":"SSRN Electronic Journal","topic":"Regional Development and Policy","field":"Social Sciences","cited_by":0,"is_retracted":false,"has_abstract":false,"ca_institutions":"Impact","funders":"","keywords":"Slowdown; Luxury goods; Durable good; Recession; Economic slowdown; State (computer science); Consumer spending; Great recession","routes":{"ca_aff":true,"ca_fund":false,"ca_venue":false,"about_ca":false,"invisible_to_affiliation_only":false},"retraction":null,"screen":null,"direct_labels":[],"prediction":{"model_version":"codex-gemma-dda1882f352a","candidate_categories":["research_integrity"],"consensus_categories":[],"category_scores_codex":[0.004425528,0.000335605,0.0003699615,0.0003234324,0.001186587,0.0003944371,0.00127263,0.0004785688,0.0001108815],"category_scores_gemma":[0.0002434307,0.000242561,0.0003230331,0.0005164675,0.0002873065,0.0001838783,0.0003017696,0.004351204,0.0001506726],"about_ca_system_candidate":true,"about_ca_system_consensus":false,"about_ca_system_score_codex":0.002864551,"about_ca_system_score_gemma":0.01610667,"about_ca_topic_candidate":true,"about_ca_topic_consensus":false,"about_ca_topic_score_codex":0.004064921,"about_ca_topic_score_gemma":0.03856602,"domain_scores_codex":[0.9948128,0.0006018964,0.0005551709,0.0003985974,0.0008095754,0.002821911],"domain_scores_gemma":[0.9987195,0.0003125382,0.0003378598,0.0003024866,0.000200232,0.0001273777],"domain_codex":null,"domain_gemma":null,"domain_candidate":null,"domain_consensus":null,"study_design_codex":"theoretical_or_conceptual","study_design_gemma":"not_applicable","study_design_scores_codex":[0.000192135,0.0001039439,0.00966837,0.00005510253,0.0006132121,0.00002024748,0.01770278,0.000049167,0.000009190412,0.8039427,0.0824102,0.08523297],"study_design_scores_gemma":[0.0002319815,0.00003594112,0.001197415,0.0001797739,0.00002774431,0.00001381566,0.001478725,0.000008819835,0.00000541119,0.3447973,0.6517427,0.0002803519],"study_design_candidate":"theoretical_or_conceptual","study_design_consensus":null,"genre_codex":"other","genre_gemma":"review","genre_scores_codex":[0.1081078,0.09542702,0.0007186478,0.3296069,0.0127082,0.002556605,0.00006135332,0.0002807743,0.4505328],"genre_scores_gemma":[0.1797669,0.4566949,0.0001197053,0.002421795,0.004617031,0.00007268166,0.00003873341,0.00005055719,0.3562176],"genre_candidate":"other","genre_consensus":null,"teacher_disagreement_score":0.5693325,"threshold_uncertainty_score":0.9979458,"prediction_status":"machine_predicted_unvalidated"},"machine_scores":{"provisional":true,"baseline":true,"maturity_gate_passed":false,"score_opus":0.02010118725161947,"score_gpt":0.3134588235974508,"score_spread":0.2933576363458313,"validation_status":"score_only:v0-immature-baseline","note":"Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed). Scores rank; they never assert a category."}}