{"id":"W4414806390","doi":"10.48550/arxiv.2510.00340","title":"Modelling road mortality risks to persistence to a Western Toad ({\\it Anaxyrus boreas}) population in British Columbia","year":2025,"lang":"en","type":"preprint","venue":"ArXiv.org","topic":"Forest ecology and management","field":"Environmental Science","cited_by":0,"is_retracted":false,"has_abstract":true,"ca_institutions":"","funders":"","keywords":"Endangered species; Persistence (discontinuity); Toad; Amphibian; Population; Baseline (sea); Threatened species; Population decline","routes":{"ca_aff":false,"ca_fund":false,"ca_venue":false,"about_ca":true,"invisible_to_affiliation_only":true},"retraction":null,"screen":null,"direct_labels":[],"prediction":{"model_version":"metacan-v3-hybrid-931329e0061c","candidate_categories":[],"consensus_categories":[],"category_scores_codex":[0.0003762654,0.0004120912,0.000277663,0.0005590314,0.0006954684,0.001010737,0.001032491,0.0006781465,0.001738724],"category_scores_gemma":[0.001491327,0.0003355382,0.0003928531,0.0004201004,0.0006938511,0.000424376,0.0005117313,0.0005510295,0.0001335753],"about_ca_system_candidate":false,"about_ca_system_consensus":false,"about_ca_system_score_codex":0.004832885,"about_ca_system_score_gemma":0.002587592,"about_ca_topic_candidate":true,"about_ca_topic_consensus":true,"about_ca_topic_score_codex":0.7480916,"about_ca_topic_score_gemma":0.7209302,"domain_scores_codex":[0.9998668,0.00003348016,0.00000437326,0.00002927184,0.000009941043,0.0000560623],"domain_scores_gemma":[0.9993353,0.0003451093,0.0001072856,0.00002544311,0.0001008169,0.00008595637],"domain_codex":null,"domain_gemma":null,"domain_candidate":null,"domain_consensus":null,"study_design_codex":"simulation_or_modeling","study_design_gemma":"simulation_or_modeling","study_design_scores_codex":[0.00008079282,0.00008411185,0.08263019,0.00002748693,0.00005943675,0.0001699382,0.0001017741,0.9116649,0.0006971445,0.001302555,0.0006558558,0.002525818],"study_design_scores_gemma":[0.00001975883,0.00006847326,0.02663426,0.00001007231,0.00004298568,0.00004115472,0.0003253432,0.9717,0.0001299232,0.0007016471,0.000309107,0.00001731769],"study_design_candidate":"simulation_or_modeling","study_design_consensus":"simulation_or_modeling","genre_codex":"empirical","genre_gemma":"empirical","genre_scores_codex":[0.9971757,0.0000568612,0.001125993,0.0001314631,0.000003486567,0.00000889927,0.0001734959,0.00001421457,0.001309845],"genre_scores_gemma":[0.9973115,0.00007158443,0.0005581733,0.00002265672,0.000002560656,0.00001191967,0.0001626732,0.000006368961,0.001852542],"genre_candidate":"empirical","genre_consensus":"empirical","teacher_disagreement_score":0.2519084,"threshold_uncertainty_score":0.5067839,"prediction_status":"machine_predicted_unvalidated"},"machine_scores":{"provisional":true,"baseline":true,"maturity_gate_passed":false,"score_opus":0.07354565058202374,"score_gpt":0.2925201932124153,"score_spread":0.2189745426303916,"validation_status":"score_only:v0-immature-baseline","note":"Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed). Scores rank; they never assert a category."}}