{"id":"W4414957974","doi":"10.1073/pnas.2501695122","title":"Predicting the way forward for the Global Biodiversity Framework","year":2025,"lang":"en","type":"article","venue":"Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences","topic":"Conservation, Biodiversity, and Resource Management","field":"Environmental Science","cited_by":4,"is_retracted":false,"has_abstract":true,"ca_institutions":"Concordia University; McGill University","funders":"Royal Society; Leverhulme Trust; Nuclear Safety and Security Commission; Deutsche Forschungsgemeinschaft; National Aeronautics and Space Administration; National Science Foundation","keywords":"Biodiversity; Work (physics); Climate change; Context (archaeology)","routes":{"ca_aff":true,"ca_fund":false,"ca_venue":false,"about_ca":false,"invisible_to_affiliation_only":false},"retraction":null,"screen":null,"direct_labels":[],"prediction":{"model_version":"metacan-v3-hybrid-931329e0061c","candidate_categories":[],"consensus_categories":[],"category_scores_codex":[0.003400926,0.0005705375,0.000353639,0.001315445,0.000723223,0.003021146,0.0009056833,0.001598682,0.006702942],"category_scores_gemma":[0.007271484,0.0002290398,0.0005250989,0.001919366,0.0008879746,0.005428524,0.001583951,0.002442184,0.0005760567],"about_ca_system_candidate":false,"about_ca_system_consensus":false,"about_ca_system_score_codex":0.003935966,"about_ca_system_score_gemma":0.003689183,"about_ca_topic_candidate":false,"about_ca_topic_consensus":false,"about_ca_topic_score_codex":0.05386822,"about_ca_topic_score_gemma":0.09080843,"domain_scores_codex":[0.9993306,0.0003421401,0.00001925223,0.0001020179,0.00008959871,0.0001163581],"domain_scores_gemma":[0.9984363,0.0007196655,0.0001623004,0.00009448046,0.000312076,0.0002751538],"domain_codex":null,"domain_gemma":null,"domain_candidate":null,"domain_consensus":null,"study_design_codex":"simulation_or_modeling","study_design_gemma":"theoretical_or_conceptual","study_design_scores_codex":[0.00008474644,0.00006517352,0.02827623,0.0002126439,0.0001955042,0.000191165,0.0002553418,0.4885613,0.0003681386,0.3568338,0.06622271,0.0587333],"study_design_scores_gemma":[0.00002014285,0.00003364958,0.00875436,0.0002140245,0.00003977539,0.00005438746,0.0009093432,0.3757122,0.0002506547,0.5819042,0.03203361,0.00007360462],"study_design_candidate":"theoretical_or_conceptual","study_design_consensus":null,"genre_codex":"empirical","genre_gemma":"commentary","genre_scores_codex":[0.413426,0.01156836,0.2090576,0.1407675,0.002727085,0.0002349856,0.02959277,0.001419102,0.1912066],"genre_scores_gemma":[0.9338118,0.002663304,0.0558133,0.0009703874,0.0001042853,0.00008518765,0.003714531,0.0001932887,0.002643836],"genre_candidate":"commentary","genre_consensus":null,"teacher_disagreement_score":0.05386822,"threshold_uncertainty_score":0.1071094,"prediction_status":"machine_predicted_unvalidated"},"machine_scores":{"provisional":true,"baseline":true,"maturity_gate_passed":false,"score_opus":0.02712118797539292,"score_gpt":0.2668463538107345,"score_spread":0.2397251658353415,"validation_status":"score_only:v0-immature-baseline","note":"Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed). Scores rank; they never assert a category."}}