{"id":"W4414972843","doi":"10.1177/87552930251377731","title":"Agent-based simulation of the effectiveness of policies for the adoption of seismic retrofits","year":2025,"lang":"en","type":"article","venue":"Earthquake Spectra","topic":"Housing Market and Economics","field":"Economics, Econometrics and Finance","cited_by":0,"is_retracted":false,"has_abstract":true,"ca_institutions":"University of Waterloo","funders":"Natural Sciences and Engineering Research Council of Canada","keywords":"Retrofitting; Seismic retrofit; Vulnerability (computing); Seismic risk; Earthquake scenario; Promotion (chess); Urban seismic risk","routes":{"ca_aff":true,"ca_fund":true,"ca_venue":false,"about_ca":true,"invisible_to_affiliation_only":false},"retraction":null,"screen":null,"direct_labels":[],"prediction":{"model_version":"codex-gemma-dda1882f352a","candidate_categories":[],"consensus_categories":[],"category_scores_codex":[0.0009213047,0.00007564703,0.0002655685,0.0001137461,0.00006138338,0.000009468738,0.0001636623,0.0000489063,0.00001890916],"category_scores_gemma":[0.0001995741,0.00006198522,0.0001879028,0.0002311532,0.00009204623,0.00004537424,0.00001996351,0.00005542821,0.000003349227],"about_ca_system_candidate":false,"about_ca_system_consensus":false,"about_ca_system_score_codex":0.00003966142,"about_ca_system_score_gemma":0.00003694195,"about_ca_topic_candidate":false,"about_ca_topic_consensus":false,"about_ca_topic_score_codex":0.0001521148,"about_ca_topic_score_gemma":0.00003921247,"domain_scores_codex":[0.9992873,0.00003751859,0.0004136023,0.0001273424,0.00002159195,0.0001126341],"domain_scores_gemma":[0.9986296,0.0006734108,0.0003477103,0.000299023,0.00004112755,0.000009127828],"domain_codex":null,"domain_gemma":null,"domain_candidate":null,"domain_consensus":null,"study_design_codex":"simulation_or_modeling","study_design_gemma":"observational","study_design_scores_codex":[0.0004427824,0.0001149304,0.1865049,0.0006499151,0.0001438666,4.375682e-8,0.0003114209,0.6534358,0.0007264763,0.1514706,0.00006013392,0.006139141],"study_design_scores_gemma":[0.0007147556,0.00006200936,0.8257713,0.00008426874,0.00002276803,6.909253e-8,0.00004330165,0.1480379,0.01096793,0.01266287,0.001553884,0.00007899039],"study_design_candidate":"observational","study_design_consensus":null,"genre_codex":"empirical","genre_gemma":"empirical","genre_scores_codex":[0.9533446,0.0002114538,0.03875918,0.000189612,0.0003803449,0.0004271855,0.00008011107,0.000007309871,0.006600186],"genre_scores_gemma":[0.9996525,0.00003255532,0.0001289816,0.00003593364,0.00002563764,0.000009342823,0.000005010389,0.000008634077,0.0001013804],"genre_candidate":"empirical","genre_consensus":"empirical","teacher_disagreement_score":0.6392664,"threshold_uncertainty_score":0.2527684,"prediction_status":"machine_predicted_unvalidated"},"machine_scores":{"provisional":true,"baseline":true,"maturity_gate_passed":false,"score_opus":0.02081182291425957,"score_gpt":0.2375204946496399,"score_spread":0.2167086717353804,"validation_status":"score_only:v0-immature-baseline","note":"Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed). Scores rank; they never assert a category."}}