{"id":"W4414993320","doi":"10.3917/reof.189.0173","title":"Tarifs douaniers américains : Donald Trump a-t-il vraiment fait marche arrière ?","year":2025,"lang":"fr","type":"article","venue":"Revue de l'OFCE/La Revue de l'OFCE","topic":"Economic Theory and Policy","field":"Economics, Econometrics and Finance","cited_by":0,"is_retracted":false,"has_abstract":true,"ca_institutions":"","funders":"","keywords":"Context (archaeology); Subject (documents); Order (exchange); George (robot)","routes":{"ca_aff":false,"ca_fund":false,"ca_venue":false,"about_ca":true,"invisible_to_affiliation_only":true},"retraction":null,"screen":null,"direct_labels":[],"prediction":{"model_version":"codex-gemma-dda1882f352a","candidate_categories":["metaepi_narrow","research_integrity","insufficient_payload"],"consensus_categories":["insufficient_payload"],"category_scores_codex":[0.003769985,0.001232857,0.002236543,0.001220572,0.0006308027,0.0006055506,0.002099142,0.001599969,0.002846336],"category_scores_gemma":[0.000934603,0.001836414,0.00128512,0.00141125,0.0006747306,0.0007193951,0.0006755738,0.002291064,0.003024426],"about_ca_system_candidate":false,"about_ca_system_consensus":false,"about_ca_system_score_codex":0.00292603,"about_ca_system_score_gemma":0.0005940652,"about_ca_topic_candidate":false,"about_ca_topic_consensus":false,"about_ca_topic_score_codex":0.001861407,"about_ca_topic_score_gemma":0.001082351,"domain_scores_codex":[0.9917898,0.0005772231,0.002686057,0.002130221,0.00008414771,0.002732601],"domain_scores_gemma":[0.9940398,0.001416932,0.001364298,0.002179872,0.0001135189,0.0008855908],"domain_codex":null,"domain_gemma":null,"domain_candidate":null,"domain_consensus":null,"study_design_codex":"theoretical_or_conceptual","study_design_gemma":"not_applicable","study_design_scores_codex":[0.0002538542,0.0005106598,0.03316041,0.00176448,0.0008964487,0.0002008613,0.004847679,0.003474585,0.0001194396,0.8630161,0.06395587,0.02779957],"study_design_scores_gemma":[0.001883329,0.0002290793,0.01215393,0.0008349842,0.0002125115,0.0002468253,0.00078127,0.008051518,0.0003263318,0.1430679,0.8307289,0.001483336],"study_design_candidate":"theoretical_or_conceptual","study_design_consensus":null,"genre_codex":"other","genre_gemma":"empirical","genre_scores_codex":[0.3267501,0.03084389,0.01277606,0.2324671,0.007781684,0.002269763,0.004930566,0.0004234997,0.3817573],"genre_scores_gemma":[0.7000168,0.01052472,0.006981907,0.01353901,0.004638074,0.0004164823,0.0003158731,0.0003698852,0.2631972],"genre_candidate":"empirical","genre_consensus":null,"teacher_disagreement_score":0.766773,"threshold_uncertainty_score":0.9996961,"prediction_status":"machine_predicted_unvalidated"},"machine_scores":{"provisional":true,"baseline":true,"maturity_gate_passed":false,"score_opus":0.01879118783401778,"score_gpt":0.2361312551302777,"score_spread":0.21734006729626,"validation_status":"score_only:v0-immature-baseline","note":"Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed). Scores rank; they never assert a category."}}