{"id":"W4415002419","doi":"10.2196/75434","title":"Hand, Foot, and Mouth Disease Risk Prediction in Southern China: Time Series Study Integrating Web-Based Search and Epidemiological Surveillance Data","year":2025,"lang":"en","type":"article","venue":"JMIR Infodemiology","topic":"Viral Infections and Immunology Research","field":"Medicine","cited_by":4,"is_retracted":false,"has_abstract":true,"ca_institutions":"","funders":"","keywords":"Disease surveillance; Epidemiological surveillance; Public health surveillance; Epidemiology; Time series; Public health; Risk assessment; Warning system","routes":{"ca_aff":false,"ca_fund":false,"ca_venue":true,"about_ca":false,"invisible_to_affiliation_only":true},"retraction":null,"screen":null,"direct_labels":[],"prediction":{"model_version":"metacan-v3-hybrid-931329e0061c","candidate_categories":[],"consensus_categories":[],"category_scores_codex":[0.001640189,0.0006106022,0.0004501128,0.001654289,0.0003002165,0.0006113924,0.0004673093,0.0004209826,0.0006503344],"category_scores_gemma":[0.002422664,0.0002826473,0.0009585096,0.001979178,0.0002162783,0.0006107844,0.0005690731,0.0003599008,0.0001755392],"about_ca_system_candidate":false,"about_ca_system_consensus":false,"about_ca_system_score_codex":0.0009679773,"about_ca_system_score_gemma":0.001047884,"about_ca_topic_candidate":false,"about_ca_topic_consensus":false,"about_ca_topic_score_codex":0.08289892,"about_ca_topic_score_gemma":0.05575392,"domain_scores_codex":[0.9994237,0.0001243962,0.00006521297,0.0001775923,0.0001223657,0.0000867786],"domain_scores_gemma":[0.9987212,0.0002924356,0.0003470918,0.0001540457,0.0002776255,0.0002076434],"domain_codex":null,"domain_gemma":null,"domain_candidate":null,"domain_consensus":null,"study_design_codex":"observational","study_design_gemma":"observational","study_design_scores_codex":[0.00004353436,0.00005091935,0.9940865,0.00001739893,0.00009754764,0.0000977404,0.0001089365,0.001986552,0.0002099694,0.00003642122,0.0001845316,0.003080076],"study_design_scores_gemma":[0.00000734141,0.00006611865,0.9683251,0.00001095604,0.00006958903,0.00006272436,0.0002722072,0.03078838,0.0001006642,0.00005164966,0.0002365712,0.000008663348],"study_design_candidate":"observational","study_design_consensus":"observational","genre_codex":"empirical","genre_gemma":"empirical","genre_scores_codex":[0.9989932,0.00006756689,0.0002350278,0.0000466025,0.000003893471,0.0000074704,0.0005461356,0.000009275624,0.00009084665],"genre_scores_gemma":[0.997932,0.00006301841,0.0002411203,0.00001177961,0.000008057253,0.00001482266,0.001577995,0.000002222642,0.0001490199],"genre_candidate":"empirical","genre_consensus":"empirical","teacher_disagreement_score":0.08289892,"threshold_uncertainty_score":0.1648328,"prediction_status":"machine_predicted_unvalidated"},"machine_scores":{"provisional":true,"baseline":true,"maturity_gate_passed":false,"score_opus":0.03733877018005605,"score_gpt":0.3645425503938826,"score_spread":0.3272037802138265,"validation_status":"score_only:v0-immature-baseline","note":"Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed). Scores rank; they never assert a category."}}