{"id":"W4415203241","doi":"10.5194/essd-17-5377-2025","title":"State of Wildfires 2024–2025","year":2025,"lang":"en","type":"article","venue":"Earth system science data","topic":"Fire effects on ecosystems","field":"Environmental Science","cited_by":54,"is_retracted":false,"has_abstract":true,"ca_institutions":"Okanagan University College; University of British Columbia, Okanagan Campus","funders":"H2020 European Research Council; Interreg; Natural Environment Research Council; Engineering and Physical Sciences Research Council; Westpac Scholars Trust; Innosuisse - Schweizerische Agentur für Innovationsförderung; Australian Research Council; European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts; Instituto Brasileiro do Meio Ambiente e dos Recursos Naturais Renováveis; Ministerio de Ciencia e Innovación; Conselho Nacional de Desenvolvimento Científico e Tecnológico; Fundação para a Ciência e a Tecnologia; Fundação de Amparo à Pesquisa do Estado de São Paulo; Met Office","keywords":"Boreal; Climate change; Wetland; Amazon rainforest; Fire regime; Taiga; Global change; Air quality index","routes":{"ca_aff":true,"ca_fund":false,"ca_venue":false,"about_ca":true,"invisible_to_affiliation_only":false},"retraction":null,"screen":null,"direct_labels":[],"prediction":{"model_version":"codex-gemma-dda1882f352a","candidate_categories":["insufficient_payload"],"consensus_categories":[],"category_scores_codex":[0.002689371,0.0001407305,0.0002487353,0.0001456493,0.0002257071,0.00009607318,0.002785348,0.00002868527,0.000208416],"category_scores_gemma":[0.0002564884,0.0001191037,0.00002720407,0.001878532,0.000697544,0.001023617,0.001895611,0.0000918689,0.0009887089],"about_ca_system_candidate":false,"about_ca_system_consensus":false,"about_ca_system_score_codex":0.0001046596,"about_ca_system_score_gemma":0.0001303884,"about_ca_topic_candidate":false,"about_ca_topic_consensus":false,"about_ca_topic_score_codex":0.003243251,"about_ca_topic_score_gemma":0.0006055776,"domain_scores_codex":[0.9975163,0.000100174,0.000408246,0.0007540883,0.0008056998,0.0004155023],"domain_scores_gemma":[0.9974349,0.0001117451,0.000162276,0.00216121,0.0000189641,0.0001108978],"domain_codex":null,"domain_gemma":null,"domain_candidate":null,"domain_consensus":null,"study_design_codex":"observational","study_design_gemma":"observational","study_design_scores_codex":[0.00006785773,0.0002729466,0.5153379,0.001378481,0.00007388928,0.00007028189,0.0008907685,0.001866912,0.1471697,0.00182073,0.105172,0.2258786],"study_design_scores_gemma":[0.0006761918,0.0001372202,0.6471238,0.001154459,0.00003766181,0.00002818391,0.00041816,0.2507277,0.0229512,0.00007742389,0.07611119,0.0005567797],"study_design_candidate":"observational","study_design_consensus":"observational","genre_codex":"empirical","genre_gemma":"empirical","genre_scores_codex":[0.9436847,0.0001434635,0.0009048585,0.000147465,0.002062124,0.0006758503,0.000392901,0.0001051337,0.05188351],"genre_scores_gemma":[0.9963963,0.0000039488,0.0006708545,0.000046503,0.00001678412,0.000008695051,0.00001591819,0.000005771861,0.002835209],"genre_candidate":"empirical","genre_consensus":"empirical","teacher_disagreement_score":0.2488608,"threshold_uncertainty_score":0.9997891,"prediction_status":"machine_predicted_unvalidated"},"machine_scores":{"provisional":true,"baseline":true,"maturity_gate_passed":false,"score_opus":0.01267136918233843,"score_gpt":0.2532344664620218,"score_spread":0.2405630972796834,"validation_status":"score_only:v0-immature-baseline","note":"Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed). Scores rank; they never assert a category."}}