{"id":"W4415229472","doi":"10.64628/aai.wyv5tguh7","title":"Why higher tariffs on Canadian lumber may not be enough to stimulate long-term investments in US forestry","year":2025,"lang":"en","type":"preprint","venue":"","topic":"Forest Management and Policy","field":"Environmental Science","cited_by":0,"is_retracted":false,"has_abstract":false,"ca_institutions":"","funders":"","keywords":"Investment (military); Government (linguistics); Production (economics); Productivity","routes":{"ca_aff":false,"ca_fund":false,"ca_venue":false,"about_ca":true,"invisible_to_affiliation_only":true},"retraction":null,"screen":null,"direct_labels":[],"prediction":{"model_version":"metacan-v3-hybrid-931329e0061c","candidate_categories":[],"consensus_categories":[],"category_scores_codex":[0.001234242,0.0002406612,0.0002670321,0.0005453962,0.002619557,0.005008233,0.0005633163,0.002558481,0.0163481],"category_scores_gemma":[0.00561348,0.0001886245,0.0002545723,0.0009129173,0.001589438,0.002005923,0.0004830101,0.002061474,0.001024031],"about_ca_system_candidate":false,"about_ca_system_consensus":false,"about_ca_system_score_codex":0.02619029,"about_ca_system_score_gemma":0.03302814,"about_ca_topic_candidate":true,"about_ca_topic_consensus":true,"about_ca_topic_score_codex":0.9284558,"about_ca_topic_score_gemma":0.9618397,"domain_scores_codex":[0.9989169,0.00006361871,0.00001499003,0.00009796322,0.0003974202,0.000509201],"domain_scores_gemma":[0.9976317,0.0003135355,0.0001203874,0.00008963322,0.001380019,0.0004647661],"domain_codex":null,"domain_gemma":null,"domain_candidate":null,"domain_consensus":null,"study_design_codex":"theoretical_or_conceptual","study_design_gemma":"theoretical_or_conceptual","study_design_scores_codex":[0.0004462753,0.0001644156,0.03897405,0.0002811187,0.0001576365,0.0003544916,0.001388898,0.007508473,0.004220504,0.5442666,0.3017454,0.100492],"study_design_scores_gemma":[0.0001455967,0.00007004569,0.175225,0.0004599559,0.0002222806,0.0002017304,0.009729767,0.01175579,0.0055189,0.2685142,0.5279483,0.0002086453],"study_design_candidate":"theoretical_or_conceptual","study_design_consensus":"theoretical_or_conceptual","genre_codex":"other","genre_gemma":"empirical","genre_scores_codex":[0.2944929,0.005989934,0.002763221,0.1957631,0.001112813,0.00007783366,0.002069296,0.0002752642,0.4974557],"genre_scores_gemma":[0.9359511,0.001702601,0.0008757694,0.007992662,0.0001170308,0.00001169715,0.0002263454,0.00008080128,0.0530421],"genre_candidate":"empirical","genre_consensus":null,"teacher_disagreement_score":0.07154423,"threshold_uncertainty_score":0.1900248,"prediction_status":"machine_predicted_unvalidated"},"machine_scores":{"provisional":true,"baseline":true,"maturity_gate_passed":false,"score_opus":0.02667396856560886,"score_gpt":0.2811086554170752,"score_spread":0.2544346868514664,"validation_status":"score_only:v0-immature-baseline","note":"Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed). Scores rank; they never assert a category."}}