{"id":"W4415251732","doi":"10.1111/faf.70029","title":"The Need for Shifting Baselines to Guide Fisheries and Ocean Activities From Days to Decades","year":2025,"lang":"en","type":"article","venue":"Fish and Fisheries","topic":"Marine and fisheries research","field":"Environmental Science","cited_by":0,"is_retracted":false,"has_abstract":true,"ca_institutions":"","funders":"Division of Chemical, Bioengineering, Environmental, and Transport Systems; University of British Columbia; University of California, Santa Cruz; National Science Foundation","keywords":"Predictability; Ocean observations; Range (aeronautics); Ecosystem; Climate change; Fisheries management; Food web; USable; Fish <Actinopterygii>","routes":{"ca_aff":false,"ca_fund":true,"ca_venue":false,"about_ca":false,"invisible_to_affiliation_only":true},"retraction":null,"screen":null,"direct_labels":[],"prediction":{"model_version":"codex-gemma-dda1882f352a","candidate_categories":[],"consensus_categories":[],"category_scores_codex":[0.0003010904,0.0001965519,0.0002161572,0.00004092733,0.0008178523,0.0005860846,0.0002867123,0.00007586343,0.0003969635],"category_scores_gemma":[0.0007249142,0.0001504411,0.00003953088,0.000256364,0.0003507192,0.0003502954,0.0007512663,0.0001020036,0.000003112056],"about_ca_system_candidate":false,"about_ca_system_consensus":false,"about_ca_system_score_codex":0.00003924984,"about_ca_system_score_gemma":0.00002180678,"about_ca_topic_candidate":false,"about_ca_topic_consensus":false,"about_ca_topic_score_codex":0.001565878,"about_ca_topic_score_gemma":0.005318052,"domain_scores_codex":[0.998681,0.00004352819,0.0002473951,0.0004111845,0.0001896491,0.0004272433],"domain_scores_gemma":[0.9988123,0.0006929095,0.0000321173,0.0002703193,0.00002128357,0.0001710283],"domain_codex":null,"domain_gemma":null,"domain_candidate":null,"domain_consensus":null,"study_design_codex":"observational","study_design_gemma":"not_applicable","study_design_scores_codex":[0.000234326,0.00001275978,0.4735611,0.00002693165,0.00002709744,0.000001662204,0.001610497,0.000001597586,0.0002775471,0.0001421316,0.4091599,0.1149444],"study_design_scores_gemma":[0.0001946999,0.0001099009,0.09045357,0.00001415741,0.00001107399,7.741729e-7,0.003440851,0.0001414051,0.0006739705,0.001102618,0.9036753,0.0001817228],"study_design_candidate":"not_applicable","study_design_consensus":null,"genre_codex":"empirical","genre_gemma":"empirical","genre_scores_codex":[0.8454587,0.00005799762,0.001484705,0.05224182,0.0002617036,0.0008482254,0.0001918134,0.00009403528,0.09936095],"genre_scores_gemma":[0.7456657,0.001204157,0.02974395,0.04487278,0.0009548005,0.0009926431,0.0001812563,0.0001579034,0.1762268],"genre_candidate":"empirical","genre_consensus":"empirical","teacher_disagreement_score":0.4945154,"threshold_uncertainty_score":0.6290341,"prediction_status":"machine_predicted_unvalidated"},"machine_scores":{"provisional":true,"baseline":true,"maturity_gate_passed":false,"score_opus":0.01243787663264133,"score_gpt":0.2538176146963053,"score_spread":0.2413797380636639,"validation_status":"score_only:v0-immature-baseline","note":"Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed). Scores rank; they never assert a category."}}