{"id":"W4415277137","doi":"10.5194/egusphere-2025-4275","title":"Characterizing runoff response to rainfall in permafrost catchments and its implications for hydrological and biogeochemical fluxes in a warming climate","year":2025,"lang":"","type":"article","venue":"","topic":"Climate change and permafrost","field":"Earth and Planetary Sciences","cited_by":0,"is_retracted":false,"has_abstract":true,"ca_institutions":"Simon Fraser University; Queen's University; University of British Columbia","funders":"National Science Foundation","keywords":"Permafrost; Surface runoff; Streamflow; Arctic; Watershed; Hydrology (agriculture); Climate change; Biogeochemical cycle; Baseflow","routes":{"ca_aff":true,"ca_fund":false,"ca_venue":false,"about_ca":true,"invisible_to_affiliation_only":false},"retraction":null,"screen":null,"direct_labels":[],"prediction":{"model_version":"metacan-v3-hybrid-931329e0061c","candidate_categories":[],"consensus_categories":[],"category_scores_codex":[0.0003446821,0.0001583334,0.0002089315,0.0004628157,0.0002869545,0.0003770568,0.0001775698,0.0002010268,0.0004599934],"category_scores_gemma":[0.0005688122,0.0000880437,0.0002340622,0.0007053494,0.0001745249,0.000260649,0.0002189847,0.0001576285,0.00004602497],"about_ca_system_candidate":false,"about_ca_system_consensus":false,"about_ca_system_score_codex":0.0004631509,"about_ca_system_score_gemma":0.0003023224,"about_ca_topic_candidate":false,"about_ca_topic_consensus":false,"about_ca_topic_score_codex":0.02483375,"about_ca_topic_score_gemma":0.03238494,"domain_scores_codex":[0.9999057,0.00002407167,0.000005870273,0.00002878607,0.00001486065,0.00002063512],"domain_scores_gemma":[0.9998029,0.00006557028,0.00005215976,0.00001857127,0.00003050488,0.00003023131],"domain_codex":null,"domain_gemma":null,"domain_candidate":null,"domain_consensus":null,"study_design_codex":"observational","study_design_gemma":"observational","study_design_scores_codex":[0.0001178215,0.0001036153,0.9718667,0.0000181062,0.00007859268,0.00006457205,0.0001704851,0.009222765,0.01054583,0.00008034091,0.000141244,0.007589917],"study_design_scores_gemma":[0.00000300885,0.00001540846,0.9898055,0.000001192362,0.000006399143,0.0000146152,0.00009597219,0.009543762,0.000399509,0.00004363451,0.00006753008,0.000003589231],"study_design_candidate":"observational","study_design_consensus":"observational","genre_codex":"empirical","genre_gemma":"empirical","genre_scores_codex":[0.9996176,0.00001052828,0.0001235467,0.000007836287,4.263504e-7,0.000001584637,0.0001414926,0.000008511507,0.00008837313],"genre_scores_gemma":[0.9996011,0.000008270879,0.0001398686,0.000004265933,0.000001437509,0.000003257332,0.0002075116,0.000001884333,0.00003253261],"genre_candidate":"empirical","genre_consensus":"empirical","teacher_disagreement_score":0.02483375,"threshold_uncertainty_score":0.0493784,"prediction_status":"machine_predicted_unvalidated"},"machine_scores":{"provisional":true,"baseline":true,"maturity_gate_passed":false,"score_opus":0.03802836988669307,"score_gpt":0.2999686446396953,"score_spread":0.2619402747530022,"validation_status":"score_only:v0-immature-baseline","note":"Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed). Scores rank; they never assert a category."}}