{"id":"W4415331273","doi":"10.18690/rei.4907","title":"New Polystochastic Statistical Inference in Social Sciences - Defining new Rules and Thresholds","year":2025,"lang":"en","type":"article","venue":"Revija za elementarno izobraževanje","topic":"Statistical Methods and Bayesian Inference","field":"Mathematics","cited_by":1,"is_retracted":false,"has_abstract":true,"ca_institutions":"","funders":"University of Sydney; Egg Farmers of Canada","keywords":"Statistical inference; Inference; Fiducial inference; Null hypothesis; Statistical hypothesis testing; Frequentist inference; Bayesian inference; Bayesian probability; Type I and type II errors","routes":{"ca_aff":false,"ca_fund":true,"ca_venue":false,"about_ca":false,"invisible_to_affiliation_only":true},"retraction":null,"screen":null,"direct_labels":[],"prediction":{"model_version":"codex-gemma-dda1882f352a","candidate_categories":["metaepi_narrow"],"consensus_categories":[],"category_scores_codex":[0.0008124055,0.0002899979,0.0005625475,0.0002529533,0.0002899498,0.0001936035,0.000319083,0.00009072494,0.0007064423],"category_scores_gemma":[0.002809254,0.0002589012,0.0000504263,0.0005338175,0.000245992,0.0001562274,0.0002379523,0.0003098423,0.00003360107],"about_ca_system_candidate":false,"about_ca_system_consensus":false,"about_ca_system_score_codex":0.00009467439,"about_ca_system_score_gemma":0.000566797,"about_ca_topic_candidate":false,"about_ca_topic_consensus":false,"about_ca_topic_score_codex":0.0004462903,"about_ca_topic_score_gemma":0.0002712814,"domain_scores_codex":[0.9976372,0.0001900885,0.0006959544,0.0005419384,0.0003735566,0.0005612867],"domain_scores_gemma":[0.9957616,0.003715046,0.0001425815,0.0001901223,0.00003165394,0.0001589602],"domain_codex":null,"domain_gemma":null,"domain_candidate":null,"domain_consensus":null,"study_design_codex":"theoretical_or_conceptual","study_design_gemma":"theoretical_or_conceptual","study_design_scores_codex":[0.00002066324,0.00003263812,0.01064064,0.000147229,0.00002131333,0.0000107104,0.0001547524,3.516929e-7,0.00007420425,0.8484251,0.005339711,0.1351326],"study_design_scores_gemma":[0.0007812525,0.0001355314,0.009767594,0.0004684504,0.00009455088,0.000005991867,0.0002433266,0.0004644328,0.00006924443,0.9864792,0.001190484,0.0002999823],"study_design_candidate":"theoretical_or_conceptual","study_design_consensus":"theoretical_or_conceptual","genre_codex":"methods","genre_gemma":"methods","genre_scores_codex":[0.007762322,0.0009090725,0.9823688,0.001169621,0.0001295974,0.0003920084,0.00007150607,0.00006731841,0.007129712],"genre_scores_gemma":[0.1191798,0.0001105552,0.8797579,0.0004904913,0.0001188261,0.00001066833,0.00001142311,0.00002055435,0.0002997721],"genre_candidate":"methods","genre_consensus":"methods","teacher_disagreement_score":0.138054,"threshold_uncertainty_score":0.9999864,"prediction_status":"machine_predicted_unvalidated"},"machine_scores":{"provisional":true,"baseline":true,"maturity_gate_passed":false,"score_opus":0.08013739530444743,"score_gpt":0.443433400421961,"score_spread":0.3632960051175136,"validation_status":"score_only:v0-immature-baseline","note":"Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed). Scores rank; they never assert a category."}}