{"id":"W4415523853","doi":"10.1007/s00285-025-02267-0","title":"A PDE-ODE coupled spatio-temporal mathematical model for fire blight during bloom","year":2025,"lang":"en","type":"article","venue":"Journal of Mathematical Biology","topic":"Mathematical and Theoretical Epidemiology and Ecology Models","field":"Medicine","cited_by":0,"is_retracted":false,"has_abstract":false,"ca_institutions":"University of Guelph","funders":"Natural Sciences and Engineering Research Council of Canada; Louisiana Board of Regents","keywords":"Fire blight; Orchard; Ode; PEAR; Bloom; Blight","routes":{"ca_aff":true,"ca_fund":true,"ca_venue":false,"about_ca":false,"invisible_to_affiliation_only":false},"retraction":null,"screen":null,"direct_labels":[],"prediction":{"model_version":"codex-gemma-dda1882f352a","candidate_categories":["insufficient_payload"],"consensus_categories":[],"category_scores_codex":[0.0018254,0.0003062274,0.001734702,0.0001977136,0.0001483912,0.00001229827,0.0002752418,0.0006138299,0.001017392],"category_scores_gemma":[0.005020286,0.000192605,0.0006003797,0.0001602125,0.0005880059,0.00006992321,0.0001043376,0.0005741899,0.0000730596],"about_ca_system_candidate":false,"about_ca_system_consensus":false,"about_ca_system_score_codex":0.00007159945,"about_ca_system_score_gemma":0.0002201713,"about_ca_topic_candidate":false,"about_ca_topic_consensus":false,"about_ca_topic_score_codex":4.161961e-7,"about_ca_topic_score_gemma":7.30496e-7,"domain_scores_codex":[0.9970774,0.0001352661,0.001759892,0.0002967737,0.0001577502,0.0005728886],"domain_scores_gemma":[0.9960262,0.002562867,0.0004291063,0.0003347542,0.0003349704,0.0003120862],"domain_codex":null,"domain_gemma":null,"domain_candidate":null,"domain_consensus":null,"study_design_codex":"theoretical_or_conceptual","study_design_gemma":"theoretical_or_conceptual","study_design_scores_codex":[0.001519347,0.001169347,0.0004804295,0.001584298,0.0004996573,0.00003446536,0.0001613976,0.0000854434,0.001520263,0.9916765,0.001067356,0.000201514],"study_design_scores_gemma":[0.001797133,0.0003477046,0.00004961083,0.0003140071,0.000339625,0.0002843675,0.00002416245,0.426016,0.0004352022,0.5701988,0.00008774624,0.0001055852],"study_design_candidate":"theoretical_or_conceptual","study_design_consensus":"theoretical_or_conceptual","genre_codex":"methods","genre_gemma":"empirical","genre_scores_codex":[0.3317462,0.0001875906,0.6552781,0.00877037,0.0001074843,0.0005051256,0.000009304171,0.0000361702,0.00335973],"genre_scores_gemma":[0.9398575,0.00004193127,0.05592991,0.001263087,0.0001638252,0.00005905411,0.00001123496,0.00002337238,0.002650132],"genre_candidate":"empirical","genre_consensus":null,"teacher_disagreement_score":0.6081113,"threshold_uncertainty_score":0.9998958,"prediction_status":"machine_predicted_unvalidated"},"machine_scores":{"provisional":true,"baseline":true,"maturity_gate_passed":false,"score_opus":0.02935186364268319,"score_gpt":0.3259925174796842,"score_spread":0.296640653837001,"validation_status":"score_only:v0-immature-baseline","note":"Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed). Scores rank; they never assert a category."}}