{"id":"W4415608507","doi":"10.1136/tc-2025-059371","title":"SimSmoke simulation models by educational status: past and future US trends and the potential role of policy","year":2025,"lang":"en","type":"article","venue":"Tobacco Control","topic":"Smoking Behavior and Cessation","field":"Medicine","cited_by":1,"is_retracted":false,"has_abstract":true,"ca_institutions":"University of British Columbia","funders":"National Cancer Institute; National Institutes of Health; Division of Cancer Prevention, National Cancer Institute","keywords":"Product (mathematics); Simulation modeling; Electronic cigarette; Nicotine; Health policy; Smoking cessation; Policy making","routes":{"ca_aff":true,"ca_fund":false,"ca_venue":false,"about_ca":false,"invisible_to_affiliation_only":false},"retraction":null,"screen":null,"direct_labels":[],"prediction":{"model_version":"codex-gemma-dda1882f352a","candidate_categories":[],"consensus_categories":[],"category_scores_codex":[0.0001026619,0.0000817324,0.0001719754,0.0001191431,0.00006942482,0.00002251028,0.00002957492,0.00006949283,0.00004240902],"category_scores_gemma":[0.00002566829,0.00005748306,0.00003795257,0.0001474631,0.0000800553,0.00007840982,0.00001163844,0.0000826813,1.326245e-7],"about_ca_system_candidate":false,"about_ca_system_consensus":false,"about_ca_system_score_codex":0.00003280752,"about_ca_system_score_gemma":0.00009212705,"about_ca_topic_candidate":false,"about_ca_topic_consensus":false,"about_ca_topic_score_codex":0.000281467,"about_ca_topic_score_gemma":0.000005445854,"domain_scores_codex":[0.9994189,0.00003815938,0.0001612805,0.0001240671,0.000147362,0.0001103047],"domain_scores_gemma":[0.9995833,0.00009973364,0.00006571563,0.0001225868,0.00008655431,0.00004211467],"domain_codex":null,"domain_gemma":null,"domain_candidate":null,"domain_consensus":null,"study_design_codex":"observational","study_design_gemma":"observational","study_design_scores_codex":[0.001559419,0.000179886,0.6647635,0.00002634146,0.0001508272,3.678362e-7,0.0008400265,0.002570954,0.00172616,0.02246885,0.0007536597,0.30496],"study_design_scores_gemma":[0.009500266,0.0000526268,0.9648399,0.00002215276,0.0003912645,0.000002930632,0.0004567619,0.01834077,0.00005657749,0.004015582,0.002243685,0.0000775001],"study_design_candidate":"observational","study_design_consensus":"observational","genre_codex":"empirical","genre_gemma":"empirical","genre_scores_codex":[0.983223,0.001334822,0.0005956269,0.01218343,0.00009902549,0.0002240844,0.00005864336,0.00001466561,0.00226668],"genre_scores_gemma":[0.9985245,0.000079281,0.00001151166,0.0005270684,0.0003737526,0.00001838241,0.00006321552,0.000005886872,0.0003963393],"genre_candidate":"empirical","genre_consensus":"empirical","teacher_disagreement_score":0.3048825,"threshold_uncertainty_score":0.2344091,"prediction_status":"machine_predicted_unvalidated"},"machine_scores":{"provisional":true,"baseline":true,"maturity_gate_passed":false,"score_opus":0.004949893754512506,"score_gpt":0.276327172043318,"score_spread":0.2713772782888055,"validation_status":"score_only:v0-immature-baseline","note":"Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed). Scores rank; they never assert a category."}}