{"id":"W4415659638","doi":"10.28924/2291-8639-23-2025-262","title":"Weather Derivatives in a Renewal Setting with Uncertain Jumps: A Pricing Approach","year":2025,"lang":"","type":"article","venue":"International Journal of Analysis and Applications","topic":"Agricultural risk and resilience","field":"Agricultural and Biological Sciences","cited_by":0,"is_retracted":false,"has_abstract":true,"ca_institutions":"","funders":"","keywords":"Valuation (finance); Stochastic differential equation; Derivative (finance); Degree (music); Stochastic process; Process (computing); Probability distribution; Valuation of options","routes":{"ca_aff":false,"ca_fund":false,"ca_venue":true,"about_ca":false,"invisible_to_affiliation_only":true},"retraction":null,"screen":null,"direct_labels":[],"prediction":{"model_version":"metacan-v3-hybrid-931329e0061c","candidate_categories":[],"consensus_categories":[],"category_scores_codex":[0.002483107,0.001065098,0.001247491,0.0009441515,0.0006125114,0.002911722,0.00230492,0.002646422,0.003684291],"category_scores_gemma":[0.007115504,0.0006629176,0.001512904,0.001029138,0.00207094,0.004511313,0.002064309,0.003084211,0.0003035736],"about_ca_system_candidate":false,"about_ca_system_consensus":false,"about_ca_system_score_codex":0.001256443,"about_ca_system_score_gemma":0.001141431,"about_ca_topic_candidate":false,"about_ca_topic_consensus":false,"about_ca_topic_score_codex":0.002968,"about_ca_topic_score_gemma":0.001942775,"domain_scores_codex":[0.9990288,0.0004051124,0.00004531122,0.0001651306,0.0002497573,0.0001059393],"domain_scores_gemma":[0.9972933,0.001712817,0.000373805,0.0001705155,0.0002179743,0.0002316999],"domain_codex":null,"domain_gemma":null,"domain_candidate":null,"domain_consensus":null,"study_design_codex":"theoretical_or_conceptual","study_design_gemma":"theoretical_or_conceptual","study_design_scores_codex":[0.00002142778,0.00004331352,0.0006594502,0.00004418191,0.00004354105,0.0002843382,0.00009532405,0.4110492,0.0007687704,0.5802334,0.0007207993,0.006036356],"study_design_scores_gemma":[0.00000531509,0.00001410058,0.00009556789,0.000007133189,0.00001004859,0.00003268294,0.00001319035,0.8782267,0.00006748048,0.1209082,0.0006064087,0.0000132395],"study_design_candidate":"theoretical_or_conceptual","study_design_consensus":"theoretical_or_conceptual","genre_codex":"methods","genre_gemma":"empirical","genre_scores_codex":[0.02115558,0.0006192793,0.9715314,0.001057341,0.0001178084,0.00002795828,0.00009329697,0.00006758903,0.005329653],"genre_scores_gemma":[0.9164004,0.00151289,0.07242934,0.0002272622,0.0004927531,0.0001080681,0.0001073454,0.00007289309,0.008649028],"genre_candidate":"empirical","genre_consensus":null,"teacher_disagreement_score":0.003684291,"threshold_uncertainty_score":0.01313204,"prediction_status":"machine_predicted_unvalidated"},"machine_scores":{"provisional":true,"baseline":true,"maturity_gate_passed":false,"score_opus":0.007081461997605555,"score_gpt":0.2611503495737734,"score_spread":0.2540688875761679,"validation_status":"score_only:v0-immature-baseline","note":"Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed). Scores rank; they never assert a category."}}