{"id":"W4415666848","doi":"10.33424/futurum647","title":"Iceberg hunting: how well can we predict the distribution of icebergs?","year":2025,"lang":"","type":"article","venue":"","topic":"Cryospheric studies and observations","field":"Earth and Planetary Sciences","cited_by":0,"is_retracted":false,"has_abstract":true,"ca_institutions":"University of Manitoba; Natural Sciences and Engineering Research Council of Canada","funders":"Alliance de recherche numérique du Canada","keywords":"Iceberg; Distribution (mathematics); Term (time); Field (mathematics); Tracking (education)","routes":{"ca_aff":true,"ca_fund":true,"ca_venue":false,"about_ca":true,"invisible_to_affiliation_only":false},"retraction":null,"screen":null,"direct_labels":[],"prediction":{"model_version":"metacan-v3-hybrid-931329e0061c","candidate_categories":[],"consensus_categories":[],"category_scores_codex":[0.005094102,0.00115939,0.00144944,0.002515029,0.0008209864,0.004731619,0.001656377,0.001720692,0.002462428],"category_scores_gemma":[0.02684355,0.0003962353,0.0008042561,0.002194389,0.001399844,0.004875343,0.0011145,0.002243752,0.001458915],"about_ca_system_candidate":false,"about_ca_system_consensus":false,"about_ca_system_score_codex":0.001713573,"about_ca_system_score_gemma":0.00216581,"about_ca_topic_candidate":false,"about_ca_topic_consensus":false,"about_ca_topic_score_codex":0.09694826,"about_ca_topic_score_gemma":0.06918384,"domain_scores_codex":[0.9990737,0.0003961876,0.00006644495,0.0002092775,0.0001559228,0.00009837241],"domain_scores_gemma":[0.9898939,0.005736369,0.0009759609,0.0004875418,0.002113134,0.0007930762],"domain_codex":null,"domain_gemma":null,"domain_candidate":null,"domain_consensus":null,"study_design_codex":"observational","study_design_gemma":"simulation_or_modeling","study_design_scores_codex":[0.0002313527,0.0002688903,0.5863449,0.0003763746,0.0008673101,0.0001424435,0.0003857749,0.1692273,0.0004243678,0.006083251,0.03815164,0.1974963],"study_design_scores_gemma":[0.00008271732,0.0001749198,0.1680926,0.0012542,0.0003139675,0.0001679875,0.002233642,0.701946,0.0006172274,0.09926126,0.02565339,0.0002020826],"study_design_candidate":"simulation_or_modeling","study_design_consensus":null,"genre_codex":"empirical","genre_gemma":"empirical","genre_scores_codex":[0.5439298,0.06910688,0.1866598,0.1312696,0.002623576,0.0002264721,0.01879073,0.002123386,0.0452699],"genre_scores_gemma":[0.9360284,0.01239596,0.03665164,0.003697274,0.0008056261,0.00009042375,0.007871947,0.000241073,0.002217627],"genre_candidate":"empirical","genre_consensus":"empirical","teacher_disagreement_score":0.09694826,"threshold_uncertainty_score":0.1927679,"prediction_status":"machine_predicted_unvalidated"},"machine_scores":{"provisional":true,"baseline":true,"maturity_gate_passed":false,"score_opus":0.01482539053459223,"score_gpt":0.2097169103848479,"score_spread":0.1948915198502557,"validation_status":"score_only:v0-immature-baseline","note":"Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed). Scores rank; they never assert a category."}}