{"id":"W4416134051","doi":"10.1111/2047-8852.70037","title":"Political Developments and Data in 2024","year":2025,"lang":"en","type":"article","venue":"European Journal of Political Research Political Data Yearbook","topic":"Populism, Right-Wing Movements","field":"Social Sciences","cited_by":0,"is_retracted":false,"has_abstract":true,"ca_institutions":"","funders":"","keywords":"Parliament; Politics; Legislature; Opposition (politics); General election; Coalition government; Democracy; Multi-party system; Presidential system; Primary election","routes":{"ca_aff":false,"ca_fund":false,"ca_venue":false,"about_ca":true,"invisible_to_affiliation_only":true},"retraction":null,"screen":null,"direct_labels":[],"prediction":{"model_version":"codex-gemma-dda1882f352a","candidate_categories":["metaresearch"],"consensus_categories":[],"category_scores_codex":[0.01700443,0.0002215737,0.0004439829,0.0008227374,0.0003843695,0.0004459453,0.004438005,0.0001114044,0.000276083],"category_scores_gemma":[0.02655247,0.0001955387,0.00004819271,0.000626761,0.002554892,0.0009429497,0.004846758,0.00172432,0.0002576367],"about_ca_system_candidate":false,"about_ca_system_consensus":false,"about_ca_system_score_codex":0.0008044038,"about_ca_system_score_gemma":0.00267567,"about_ca_topic_candidate":false,"about_ca_topic_consensus":false,"about_ca_topic_score_codex":0.001655961,"about_ca_topic_score_gemma":0.000238869,"domain_scores_codex":[0.9879774,0.004581082,0.001130709,0.000738738,0.002182832,0.003389269],"domain_scores_gemma":[0.9931868,0.002405623,0.00007430046,0.001521776,0.0004244713,0.002387013],"domain_codex":null,"domain_gemma":null,"domain_candidate":null,"domain_consensus":null,"study_design_codex":"theoretical_or_conceptual","study_design_gemma":"not_applicable","study_design_scores_codex":[0.00003828973,0.0001878529,0.003794217,0.00003924066,0.00004980537,0.0006607765,0.000122734,1.542844e-8,0.00002268873,0.973466,0.02047324,0.001145082],"study_design_scores_gemma":[0.001872494,0.0002068351,0.1026462,0.0009111319,0.00006024525,0.00003485769,0.004054039,0.00009849649,0.00007126356,0.2051966,0.6844282,0.0004196461],"study_design_candidate":"theoretical_or_conceptual","study_design_consensus":null,"genre_codex":"other","genre_gemma":"empirical","genre_scores_codex":[0.02604406,0.0003143154,0.0004413301,0.04220141,0.0007253421,0.000446859,0.0005252822,0.0000398921,0.9292615],"genre_scores_gemma":[0.9881375,0.00004074015,0.001881705,0.002573256,0.001074786,0.000001569667,0.00005805951,0.0000384288,0.006193939],"genre_candidate":"empirical","genre_consensus":null,"teacher_disagreement_score":0.9620935,"threshold_uncertainty_score":0.9816473,"prediction_status":"machine_predicted_unvalidated"},"machine_scores":{"provisional":true,"baseline":true,"maturity_gate_passed":false,"score_opus":0.2924307214291839,"score_gpt":0.5251288321337378,"score_spread":0.2326981107045539,"validation_status":"score_only:v0-immature-baseline","note":"Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed). Scores rank; they never assert a category."}}