{"id":"W4416149029","doi":"10.1073/pnas.2530050122","title":"Wildfires have created instability within risk transfer markets. Here’s a path forward","year":2025,"lang":"en","type":"article","venue":"Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences","topic":"Fire effects on ecosystems","field":"Environmental Science","cited_by":0,"is_retracted":false,"has_abstract":true,"ca_institutions":"Headwaters Health Care Centre","funders":"","keywords":"Path (computing); Instability; Transfer (computing); Stability (learning theory)","routes":{"ca_aff":true,"ca_fund":false,"ca_venue":false,"about_ca":false,"invisible_to_affiliation_only":false},"retraction":null,"screen":null,"direct_labels":[],"prediction":{"model_version":"metacan-v3-hybrid-931329e0061c","candidate_categories":[],"consensus_categories":[],"category_scores_codex":[0.005121209,0.0007576589,0.0005700062,0.001041059,0.004888664,0.0135683,0.001424837,0.005708557,0.03469187],"category_scores_gemma":[0.01236555,0.0002569758,0.0006856184,0.001026332,0.005731665,0.02217694,0.005686621,0.009527367,0.005105543],"about_ca_system_candidate":false,"about_ca_system_consensus":false,"about_ca_system_score_codex":0.002512773,"about_ca_system_score_gemma":0.004292631,"about_ca_topic_candidate":false,"about_ca_topic_consensus":false,"about_ca_topic_score_codex":0.004688696,"about_ca_topic_score_gemma":0.008204652,"domain_scores_codex":[0.9982926,0.0004422211,0.00006715949,0.0002329508,0.0006541978,0.0003109261],"domain_scores_gemma":[0.9929739,0.002642442,0.0008428251,0.0004071675,0.001262824,0.001870912],"domain_codex":null,"domain_gemma":null,"domain_candidate":null,"domain_consensus":null,"study_design_codex":"theoretical_or_conceptual","study_design_gemma":"theoretical_or_conceptual","study_design_scores_codex":[0.000152318,0.0001643844,0.006509181,0.0003740304,0.00006162698,0.0004974636,0.002264911,0.001312071,0.0004909577,0.4389003,0.269399,0.2798738],"study_design_scores_gemma":[0.00002452966,0.0001067479,0.002232599,0.0007861082,0.00001951578,0.0003533424,0.005292161,0.001458916,0.0003018047,0.290266,0.6990856,0.00007262354],"study_design_candidate":"theoretical_or_conceptual","study_design_consensus":"theoretical_or_conceptual","genre_codex":"commentary","genre_gemma":"commentary","genre_scores_codex":[0.01783504,0.06312542,0.03056299,0.7786304,0.0139943,0.00008598726,0.0004363611,0.0004692102,0.09486023],"genre_scores_gemma":[0.5623729,0.1457426,0.03970322,0.164901,0.02760026,0.0001785444,0.0007551538,0.0007358427,0.05801043],"genre_candidate":"commentary","genre_consensus":"commentary","teacher_disagreement_score":0.03469187,"threshold_uncertainty_score":0.1160558,"prediction_status":"machine_predicted_unvalidated"},"machine_scores":{"provisional":true,"baseline":true,"maturity_gate_passed":false,"score_opus":0.01247684722884432,"score_gpt":0.2516203488770568,"score_spread":0.2391435016482125,"validation_status":"score_only:v0-immature-baseline","note":"Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed). Scores rank; they never assert a category."}}