{"id":"W4416365752","doi":"10.1287/mnsc.2022.03251","title":"Firms’ Stock Prices, Stock Returns, and Remaining Lifetime Earnings","year":2025,"lang":"en","type":"article","venue":"Management Science","topic":"Auditing, Earnings Management, Governance","field":"Business, Management and Accounting","cited_by":0,"is_retracted":false,"has_abstract":true,"ca_institutions":"University of Calgary","funders":"","keywords":"Earnings; Stock (firearms); Stock price; Earnings growth; Public information; Growth stock; Stock trading","routes":{"ca_aff":true,"ca_fund":false,"ca_venue":false,"about_ca":true,"invisible_to_affiliation_only":false},"retraction":null,"screen":null,"direct_labels":[],"prediction":{"model_version":"metacan-v3-hybrid-931329e0061c","candidate_categories":[],"consensus_categories":[],"category_scores_codex":[0.0006095094,0.0001840475,0.0001716562,0.001254409,0.0002619652,0.001192373,0.0003004977,0.0004240591,0.004458777],"category_scores_gemma":[0.005255822,0.00009580165,0.000178512,0.001671372,0.0001840755,0.001141836,0.0004607649,0.0005368742,0.000974015],"about_ca_system_candidate":false,"about_ca_system_consensus":false,"about_ca_system_score_codex":0.000696611,"about_ca_system_score_gemma":0.000330438,"about_ca_topic_candidate":false,"about_ca_topic_consensus":false,"about_ca_topic_score_codex":0.01297376,"about_ca_topic_score_gemma":0.02121394,"domain_scores_codex":[0.9996791,0.00002613201,0.00004279092,0.0000539928,0.0001318756,0.0000660838],"domain_scores_gemma":[0.9922155,0.001268658,0.004963334,0.0002704503,0.0006376433,0.0006444457],"domain_codex":null,"domain_gemma":null,"domain_candidate":null,"domain_consensus":null,"study_design_codex":"observational","study_design_gemma":"observational","study_design_scores_codex":[0.00005247989,0.00008044233,0.9873841,0.00001280178,0.00005231818,0.00009529453,0.0001383698,0.0008718724,0.0002636373,0.001360816,0.001491488,0.008196414],"study_design_scores_gemma":[0.000002413854,0.00004319168,0.9964665,0.000005424411,0.00001210935,0.00005137652,0.0001352706,0.001373735,0.0002560183,0.0005594805,0.00108552,0.000008849043],"study_design_candidate":"observational","study_design_consensus":"observational","genre_codex":"empirical","genre_gemma":"empirical","genre_scores_codex":[0.9878851,0.0001377237,0.0002918407,0.0002445813,0.000007097552,0.00001085073,0.005948485,0.00002367223,0.005450802],"genre_scores_gemma":[0.9927772,0.0001103514,0.0002069115,0.00002303485,0.00001690405,0.000008789123,0.004917097,0.000003019974,0.001936664],"genre_candidate":"empirical","genre_consensus":"empirical","teacher_disagreement_score":0.01297376,"threshold_uncertainty_score":0.02579647,"prediction_status":"machine_predicted_unvalidated"},"machine_scores":{"provisional":true,"baseline":true,"maturity_gate_passed":false,"score_opus":0.008126228735101224,"score_gpt":0.2263036918617424,"score_spread":0.2181774631266412,"validation_status":"score_only:v0-immature-baseline","note":"Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed). Scores rank; they never assert a category."}}