{"id":"W4416527746","doi":"10.1017/9781009322737.003","title":"The Rise and Fall of the Planning Fallacy","year":2025,"lang":"","type":"book-chapter","venue":"Cambridge University Press eBooks","topic":"Urban Planning and Governance","field":"Social Sciences","cited_by":0,"is_retracted":false,"has_abstract":true,"ca_institutions":"University of Ottawa","funders":"","keywords":"Fallacy; Argument (complex analysis); Appeal; Scope (computer science); Popularity","routes":{"ca_aff":true,"ca_fund":false,"ca_venue":false,"about_ca":false,"invisible_to_affiliation_only":false},"retraction":null,"screen":null,"direct_labels":[],"prediction":{"model_version":"metacan-v3-hybrid-931329e0061c","candidate_categories":[],"consensus_categories":[],"category_scores_codex":[0.004897221,0.0004625473,0.0006519026,0.001306838,0.002580489,0.006431865,0.00096905,0.002298329,0.005311359],"category_scores_gemma":[0.008593079,0.0004702359,0.0004807058,0.001954613,0.02679434,0.008554582,0.003151515,0.007849499,0.0008363135],"about_ca_system_candidate":false,"about_ca_system_consensus":false,"about_ca_system_score_codex":0.006968482,"about_ca_system_score_gemma":0.006444154,"about_ca_topic_candidate":false,"about_ca_topic_consensus":false,"about_ca_topic_score_codex":0.00401009,"about_ca_topic_score_gemma":0.005354202,"domain_scores_codex":[0.9958643,0.001919808,0.00009508638,0.0004009595,0.001473204,0.000246736],"domain_scores_gemma":[0.9956321,0.003374215,0.0001961893,0.0003418526,0.0003147679,0.000140926],"domain_codex":null,"domain_gemma":null,"domain_candidate":null,"domain_consensus":null,"study_design_codex":"theoretical_or_conceptual","study_design_gemma":"theoretical_or_conceptual","study_design_scores_codex":[0.000001574331,0.000002726548,0.00004309499,0.00001250519,0.000001118224,0.00001044959,0.0004933064,0.000190242,0.00001433064,0.9904116,0.003276495,0.005542474],"study_design_scores_gemma":[0.000003306107,0.000006518052,0.0001296485,0.00009526683,0.00000214827,0.00003030955,0.0004183322,0.0006070292,0.0000526647,0.9443267,0.0543231,0.000004964999],"study_design_candidate":"theoretical_or_conceptual","study_design_consensus":"theoretical_or_conceptual","genre_codex":"other","genre_gemma":"empirical","genre_scores_codex":[0.01571066,0.0258272,0.08711897,0.1231226,0.001589187,0.00008610987,0.0001191579,0.0001858,0.7462403],"genre_scores_gemma":[0.7575842,0.02765051,0.04044939,0.01373406,0.001346721,0.0004369889,0.0001381228,0.0003363781,0.1583237],"genre_candidate":"empirical","genre_consensus":null,"teacher_disagreement_score":0.006968482,"threshold_uncertainty_score":0.05056012,"prediction_status":"machine_predicted_unvalidated"},"machine_scores":{"provisional":true,"baseline":true,"maturity_gate_passed":false,"score_opus":0.021204266330955,"score_gpt":0.2204134688304289,"score_spread":0.1992092024994739,"validation_status":"score_only:v0-immature-baseline","note":"Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed). Scores rank; they never assert a category."}}