{"id":"W4416811181","doi":"10.1177/13540688251405737","title":"Banking on victory? Gender, campaign spending, and candidate nomination outcomes in Canada","year":2025,"lang":"en","type":"article","venue":"Party Politics","topic":"Gender Politics and Representation","field":"Social Sciences","cited_by":0,"is_retracted":false,"has_abstract":true,"ca_institutions":"Mount Royal University; Dalhousie University","funders":"","keywords":"Nomination; Politics; Campaign finance; Multivariate analysis; General election; Gender gap","routes":{"ca_aff":true,"ca_fund":false,"ca_venue":false,"about_ca":true,"invisible_to_affiliation_only":false},"retraction":null,"screen":null,"direct_labels":[],"prediction":{"model_version":"metacan-v3-hybrid-931329e0061c","candidate_categories":[],"consensus_categories":[],"category_scores_codex":[0.001159791,0.0002029481,0.0004389148,0.001391037,0.004739886,0.002549887,0.0009132618,0.0004853101,0.006969027],"category_scores_gemma":[0.003919411,0.0001800534,0.0003365642,0.003504401,0.001295629,0.0004615518,0.001268181,0.0009525275,0.0005830853],"about_ca_system_candidate":false,"about_ca_system_consensus":false,"about_ca_system_score_codex":0.02355976,"about_ca_system_score_gemma":0.03711124,"about_ca_topic_candidate":true,"about_ca_topic_consensus":true,"about_ca_topic_score_codex":0.9908621,"about_ca_topic_score_gemma":0.9973411,"domain_scores_codex":[0.9988018,0.00009319884,0.00002968185,0.0001122349,0.0002818379,0.0006812434],"domain_scores_gemma":[0.9960949,0.0003621392,0.000692169,0.0001206955,0.001111546,0.001618588],"domain_codex":null,"domain_gemma":null,"domain_candidate":null,"domain_consensus":null,"study_design_codex":"observational","study_design_gemma":"observational","study_design_scores_codex":[0.0002077402,0.00006966295,0.9676062,0.00003903372,0.00004049315,0.0001442697,0.004988485,0.0001978024,0.0002316489,0.001936467,0.008985285,0.01555307],"study_design_scores_gemma":[0.000008500645,0.00001891866,0.9837352,0.00004795878,0.00001519795,0.00002976045,0.008347036,0.0002802146,0.0001072802,0.0001219041,0.007270049,0.00001791749],"study_design_candidate":"observational","study_design_consensus":"observational","genre_codex":"empirical","genre_gemma":"empirical","genre_scores_codex":[0.9881166,0.0004533621,0.00005826118,0.001297468,0.0000235753,0.00001429102,0.001878996,0.00000763623,0.008149859],"genre_scores_gemma":[0.9958565,0.0002219513,0.00004644639,0.00008864816,0.000006334441,0.000005802818,0.0007395284,0.000006153185,0.003028712],"genre_candidate":"empirical","genre_consensus":"empirical","teacher_disagreement_score":0.02355976,"threshold_uncertainty_score":0.1709388,"prediction_status":"machine_predicted_unvalidated"},"machine_scores":{"provisional":true,"baseline":true,"maturity_gate_passed":false,"score_opus":0.03317363139425647,"score_gpt":0.3301176954515574,"score_spread":0.2969440640573009,"validation_status":"score_only:v0-immature-baseline","note":"Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed). Scores rank; they never assert a category."}}