{"id":"W4417422359","doi":"10.21203/rs.3.rs-8288410/v1","title":"Reemergence of chikungunya in Mauritius driven by a novel lineage with pandemic potential","year":2025,"lang":"","type":"preprint","venue":"Research Square","topic":"Mosquito-borne diseases and control","field":"Medicine","cited_by":0,"is_retracted":false,"has_abstract":false,"ca_institutions":"Response Biomedical (Canada)","funders":"Universiteit Stellenbosch; Novo Nordisk; Centers for Disease Control and Prevention; South African Medical Research Council; World Health Organization","keywords":"Chikungunya; Arbovirus; Outbreak; Clade; Lineage (genetic); Transmission (telecommunications); Vector (molecular biology); Pandemic; Aedes","routes":{"ca_aff":true,"ca_fund":false,"ca_venue":false,"about_ca":false,"invisible_to_affiliation_only":false},"retraction":null,"screen":null,"direct_labels":[],"prediction":{"model_version":"metacan-v3-hybrid-931329e0061c","candidate_categories":[],"consensus_categories":[],"category_scores_codex":[0.0003344361,0.0002995272,0.0003429301,0.0003556457,0.0009505805,0.001010276,0.000383876,0.0008033086,0.003022722],"category_scores_gemma":[0.001134911,0.0001692043,0.0004170477,0.0007068787,0.0004395189,0.0005698683,0.0006598014,0.001267876,0.0003610099],"about_ca_system_candidate":false,"about_ca_system_consensus":false,"about_ca_system_score_codex":0.001086967,"about_ca_system_score_gemma":0.0005287648,"about_ca_topic_candidate":false,"about_ca_topic_consensus":false,"about_ca_topic_score_codex":0.006178058,"about_ca_topic_score_gemma":0.004209272,"domain_scores_codex":[0.9997893,0.00003234136,0.00001424378,0.00005647166,0.00002178165,0.00008583122],"domain_scores_gemma":[0.9996432,0.00005634324,0.000103913,0.00005721174,0.0000619694,0.00007740733],"domain_codex":null,"domain_gemma":null,"domain_candidate":null,"domain_consensus":null,"study_design_codex":"observational","study_design_gemma":"observational","study_design_scores_codex":[0.00175265,0.0001647079,0.7744431,0.0002569799,0.0003687993,0.008761703,0.006297666,0.002002039,0.160832,0.004868769,0.002270767,0.03798087],"study_design_scores_gemma":[0.0001048437,0.0004022218,0.9701751,0.0001415722,0.0001733914,0.005547082,0.004004491,0.002786893,0.004633564,0.002282707,0.009713785,0.0000342619],"study_design_candidate":"observational","study_design_consensus":"observational","genre_codex":"empirical","genre_gemma":"empirical","genre_scores_codex":[0.9974632,0.0003935813,0.000264589,0.0002555184,0.00004239278,0.00001179018,0.0001638755,0.00000716999,0.001397836],"genre_scores_gemma":[0.9984497,0.0002584417,0.000232872,0.0001992065,0.00003933855,0.000007557331,0.0002692011,0.000007574886,0.0005360688],"genre_candidate":"empirical","genre_consensus":"empirical","teacher_disagreement_score":0.006178058,"threshold_uncertainty_score":0.01228416,"prediction_status":"machine_predicted_unvalidated"},"machine_scores":{"provisional":true,"baseline":true,"maturity_gate_passed":false,"score_opus":0.03095217469358339,"score_gpt":0.3838913422019006,"score_spread":0.3529391675083172,"validation_status":"score_only:v0-immature-baseline","note":"Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed). Scores rank; they never assert a category."}}