{"id":"W51147167","doi":"","title":"Economic Conditions Remain Weak. Business Cycle Report of December 2012","year":2012,"lang":"en","type":"article","venue":"Austrian Economic Quarterly","topic":"German Economic Analysis & Policies","field":"Economics, Econometrics and Finance","cited_by":0,"is_retracted":false,"has_abstract":true,"ca_institutions":"","funders":"","keywords":"Economics; Quarter (Canadian coin); Business cycle; Unemployment; Slowdown; China; Economic slowdown; Real gross domestic product; Offset (computer science); Monetary economics; International economics; Macroeconomics; Economic growth; Geography","routes":{"ca_aff":false,"ca_fund":false,"ca_venue":false,"about_ca":true,"invisible_to_affiliation_only":true},"retraction":null,"screen":null,"direct_labels":[],"prediction":{"model_version":"codex-gemma-dda1882f352a","candidate_categories":["metaepi_narrow","insufficient_payload"],"consensus_categories":["insufficient_payload"],"category_scores_codex":[0.001247049,0.0004427092,0.001328798,0.0006768306,0.0001595017,0.0001038083,0.0005403648,0.0002792864,0.00748158],"category_scores_gemma":[0.00005422542,0.0005890344,0.0004431288,0.0001686916,0.0002866112,0.001854747,0.00006486237,0.0002136665,0.01571322],"about_ca_system_candidate":false,"about_ca_system_consensus":false,"about_ca_system_score_codex":0.0007134728,"about_ca_system_score_gemma":0.0001246684,"about_ca_topic_candidate":false,"about_ca_topic_consensus":false,"about_ca_topic_score_codex":0.001946247,"about_ca_topic_score_gemma":0.000882993,"domain_scores_codex":[0.9956365,0.00004800837,0.002620516,0.0007055594,0.00003406457,0.000955399],"domain_scores_gemma":[0.9955089,0.000140224,0.002651981,0.001297396,0.00003722786,0.0003642388],"domain_codex":null,"domain_gemma":null,"domain_candidate":null,"domain_consensus":null,"study_design_codex":"theoretical_or_conceptual","study_design_gemma":"observational","study_design_scores_codex":[0.00005582597,0.0004616636,0.4168418,0.00006957387,0.00147781,0.00001747156,0.002488065,0.003105649,0.0001195491,0.4566247,0.1172942,0.00144366],"study_design_scores_gemma":[0.003580609,0.000185085,0.6449934,0.00006341095,0.0002126382,0.000634495,0.002195473,0.001933182,0.0003879618,0.07890236,0.264473,0.002438389],"study_design_candidate":"observational","study_design_consensus":null,"genre_codex":"empirical","genre_gemma":"empirical","genre_scores_codex":[0.9285495,0.0006731823,0.000505716,0.0009935157,0.001890174,0.0003442655,0.000712752,0.00008131473,0.06624953],"genre_scores_gemma":[0.9905448,0.00005859086,0.0002617453,0.0001274733,0.0008652984,0.00006533426,0.000189426,0.00008636031,0.00780099],"genre_candidate":"empirical","genre_consensus":"empirical","teacher_disagreement_score":0.3777224,"threshold_uncertainty_score":0.9996561,"prediction_status":"machine_predicted_unvalidated"},"machine_scores":{"provisional":true,"baseline":true,"maturity_gate_passed":false,"score_opus":0.02148278205508912,"score_gpt":0.245740347649834,"score_spread":0.2242575655947449,"validation_status":"score_only:v0-immature-baseline","note":"Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed). Scores rank; they never assert a category."}}