{"id":"W597170408","doi":"","title":"Nowcasting Turkish GDP Growth","year":2012,"lang":"en","type":"preprint","venue":"RePEc: Research Papers in Economics","topic":"Monetary Policy and Economic Impact","field":"Economics, Econometrics and Finance","cited_by":9,"is_retracted":false,"has_abstract":true,"ca_institutions":"","funders":"","keywords":"Nowcasting; Real gross domestic product; Gross domestic product; Econometrics; Economics; GDP deflator; Economic indicator; Quarter (Canadian coin); Sample (material); Industrial production; Macroeconomics; Geography","routes":{"ca_aff":false,"ca_fund":false,"ca_venue":false,"about_ca":true,"invisible_to_affiliation_only":true},"retraction":null,"screen":null,"direct_labels":[],"prediction":{"model_version":"metacan-v3-hybrid-931329e0061c","candidate_categories":[],"consensus_categories":[],"category_scores_codex":[0.0009037671,0.0006485797,0.0005948543,0.001198079,0.0002263532,0.001309672,0.0005765285,0.0007365254,0.003022399],"category_scores_gemma":[0.006045992,0.0002236572,0.0005939495,0.001062909,0.0002455588,0.001134363,0.0004795047,0.001226548,0.001076242],"about_ca_system_candidate":false,"about_ca_system_consensus":false,"about_ca_system_score_codex":0.000592372,"about_ca_system_score_gemma":0.0004949829,"about_ca_topic_candidate":false,"about_ca_topic_consensus":false,"about_ca_topic_score_codex":0.01866937,"about_ca_topic_score_gemma":0.01293102,"domain_scores_codex":[0.9995711,0.00009088586,0.00002520461,0.0001208651,0.0001329862,0.0000588956],"domain_scores_gemma":[0.9987605,0.000410547,0.0001890341,0.0002018467,0.0003862077,0.00005183052],"domain_codex":null,"domain_gemma":null,"domain_candidate":null,"domain_consensus":null,"study_design_codex":"simulation_or_modeling","study_design_gemma":"simulation_or_modeling","study_design_scores_codex":[0.001166915,0.0001110405,0.04609421,0.0004034835,0.0002911783,0.0006381532,0.000365708,0.7160183,0.005204257,0.02156352,0.04924751,0.1588957],"study_design_scores_gemma":[0.00004297523,0.00008793004,0.03288531,0.00008703658,0.0001255341,0.0001362703,0.0001467384,0.9233182,0.005890105,0.007555385,0.02961255,0.0001119764],"study_design_candidate":"simulation_or_modeling","study_design_consensus":"simulation_or_modeling","genre_codex":"empirical","genre_gemma":"empirical","genre_scores_codex":[0.7681459,0.003647692,0.1692473,0.002866592,0.004443644,0.00007734796,0.0282123,0.003547305,0.01981203],"genre_scores_gemma":[0.9624612,0.001232409,0.01072492,0.0001203902,0.0003800332,0.00003674267,0.02014132,0.0003052634,0.004597637],"genre_candidate":"empirical","genre_consensus":"empirical","teacher_disagreement_score":0.01866937,"threshold_uncertainty_score":0.03712142,"prediction_status":"machine_predicted_unvalidated"},"machine_scores":{"provisional":true,"baseline":true,"maturity_gate_passed":false,"score_opus":0.130730834053378,"score_gpt":0.3031004489335546,"score_spread":0.1723696148801767,"validation_status":"score_only:v0-immature-baseline","note":"Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed). Scores rank; they never assert a category."}}