{"id":"W611013169","doi":"10.30541/v50i4ipp.285-294","title":"Household Balance Sheets, Aggregate Demand and Unemployment (The Quaid-i-Azam Lecture)","year":2011,"lang":"en","type":"article","venue":"The Pakistan Development Review","topic":"Housing Market and Economics","field":"Economics, Econometrics and Finance","cited_by":1,"is_retracted":false,"has_abstract":true,"ca_institutions":"Booth University College","funders":"","keywords":"Deleveraging; Economics; Unemployment; Debt; Aggregate demand; Monetary economics; Household debt; Recession; Bust; Pace; Great recession; Macroeconomics; Labour economics; Monetary policy; Boom","routes":{"ca_aff":true,"ca_fund":false,"ca_venue":false,"about_ca":false,"invisible_to_affiliation_only":false},"retraction":null,"screen":null,"direct_labels":[],"prediction":{"model_version":"codex-gemma-dda1882f352a","candidate_categories":[],"consensus_categories":[],"category_scores_codex":[0.002376584,0.0002461303,0.0004970517,0.00004586995,0.0003016745,0.00009659004,0.0004349914,0.00005852129,0.0003934615],"category_scores_gemma":[0.00004782701,0.0001673685,0.00008671316,0.0001743596,0.0001405628,0.00009565727,0.0001407751,0.0001742973,0.0002738199],"about_ca_system_candidate":false,"about_ca_system_consensus":false,"about_ca_system_score_codex":0.0001032403,"about_ca_system_score_gemma":0.00004825781,"about_ca_topic_candidate":false,"about_ca_topic_consensus":false,"about_ca_topic_score_codex":0.00005222693,"about_ca_topic_score_gemma":0.00003843613,"domain_scores_codex":[0.9983523,0.00006532623,0.0008217596,0.0003737746,0.00004246197,0.0003443617],"domain_scores_gemma":[0.9988871,0.00009279446,0.0004023446,0.0005203967,0.00001419052,0.00008314869],"domain_codex":null,"domain_gemma":null,"domain_candidate":null,"domain_consensus":null,"study_design_codex":"design_other","study_design_gemma":"not_applicable","study_design_scores_codex":[0.0001504086,0.0004878453,0.1456168,0.005884489,0.001197233,0.00005401683,0.01864593,0.00004390883,0.00001368734,0.2068419,0.03203502,0.5890288],"study_design_scores_gemma":[0.000264843,0.00001883461,0.02024313,0.0006658442,0.00003279139,0.00002633749,0.00002541128,0.00006033218,0.00005366745,0.006494415,0.9716986,0.0004157784],"study_design_candidate":"not_applicable","study_design_consensus":null,"genre_codex":"review","genre_gemma":"empirical","genre_scores_codex":[0.1608168,0.4800296,0.005297969,0.004986683,0.0008986515,0.002517076,0.00004103755,0.0002587852,0.3451534],"genre_scores_gemma":[0.6800828,0.3142872,0.001643836,0.002969923,0.00006106577,0.0001261548,0.000008514111,0.00005878374,0.0007616954],"genre_candidate":"empirical","genre_consensus":null,"teacher_disagreement_score":0.9396636,"threshold_uncertainty_score":0.6825088,"prediction_status":"machine_predicted_unvalidated"},"machine_scores":{"provisional":true,"baseline":true,"maturity_gate_passed":false,"score_opus":0.05362654386477326,"score_gpt":0.2328368736921755,"score_spread":0.1792103298274023,"validation_status":"score_only:v0-immature-baseline","note":"Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed). Scores rank; they never assert a category."}}