{"id":"W6885406057","doi":"10.1371/journal.pcbi.1004928.g004","title":"Performance of most connected (red), random (blue), and random acquaintance (green) strategies with respect to predicting the timing and magnitude of the peak (graphs A, C, and E), and achieving early warning and situational awareness (graphs B, D, and F).","year":2016,"lang":"en","type":"other","venue":"Figshare","topic":"","field":"","cited_by":0,"is_retracted":false,"has_abstract":true,"ca_institutions":"","funders":"","keywords":"Magnitude (astronomy); Standard deviation; Random variable; Warning system; Random error; Variance (accounting)","routes":{"ca_aff":false,"ca_fund":false,"ca_venue":false,"about_ca":true,"invisible_to_affiliation_only":true},"retraction":null,"screen":null,"direct_labels":[],"prediction":{"model_version":"metacan-v3-hybrid-931329e0061c","candidate_categories":[],"consensus_categories":[],"category_scores_codex":[0.0005346992,0.0005759551,0.0004206329,0.0004833625,0.0002997861,0.0005878082,0.00107706,0.0008902577,0.02264019],"category_scores_gemma":[0.005558398,0.0002471919,0.0004972476,0.0002758095,0.0004840324,0.0009384213,0.0007485375,0.0008628355,0.002528831],"about_ca_system_candidate":false,"about_ca_system_consensus":false,"about_ca_system_score_codex":0.0005353298,"about_ca_system_score_gemma":0.0006874246,"about_ca_topic_candidate":false,"about_ca_topic_consensus":false,"about_ca_topic_score_codex":0.02085781,"about_ca_topic_score_gemma":0.02234129,"domain_scores_codex":[0.9998374,0.00003267526,0.000008547637,0.00006761077,0.00001546536,0.00003819061],"domain_scores_gemma":[0.9977824,0.001236067,0.0001038101,0.0003288419,0.0001709719,0.0003779914],"domain_codex":null,"domain_gemma":null,"domain_candidate":null,"domain_consensus":null,"study_design_codex":"simulation_or_modeling","study_design_gemma":"simulation_or_modeling","study_design_scores_codex":[0.002155472,0.00135881,0.04155656,0.0006873752,0.0009480767,0.0001692924,0.0003735678,0.7283039,0.01241722,0.008774483,0.09684085,0.1064144],"study_design_scores_gemma":[0.0005834702,0.001629297,0.05822045,0.0002076853,0.0003325584,0.0001472689,0.0005113452,0.9072736,0.009271958,0.01118524,0.01051384,0.0001233392],"study_design_candidate":"simulation_or_modeling","study_design_consensus":"simulation_or_modeling","genre_codex":"empirical","genre_gemma":"dataset","genre_scores_codex":[0.9295228,0.0006005024,0.02191538,0.0007013957,0.000295447,0.0001575387,0.01053638,0.003737945,0.0325327],"genre_scores_gemma":[0.9789252,0.0001530014,0.006776837,0.000154837,0.00001189228,0.000138811,0.007229053,0.0003950197,0.006215416],"genre_candidate":"dataset","genre_consensus":null,"teacher_disagreement_score":0.02264019,"threshold_uncertainty_score":0.07573903,"prediction_status":"machine_predicted_unvalidated"},"machine_scores":{"provisional":true,"baseline":true,"maturity_gate_passed":false,"score_opus":0.01871101089323748,"score_gpt":0.2484416736893958,"score_spread":0.2297306627961584,"validation_status":"score_only:v0-immature-baseline","note":"Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed). Scores rank; they never assert a category."}}