{"id":"W6890353139","doi":"10.34989/san-2023-6","title":"Potential output and the neutral rate in Canada: 2023 assessment","year":2023,"lang":"en","type":"article","venue":"Bank of Canada Research","topic":"Energy, Environment, and Transportation Policies","field":"Energy","cited_by":1,"is_retracted":false,"has_abstract":true,"ca_institutions":"Bank of Canada","funders":"","keywords":"Range (aeronautics); Potential output; Growth rate; Control theory (sociology)","routes":{"ca_aff":true,"ca_fund":false,"ca_venue":false,"about_ca":true,"invisible_to_affiliation_only":false},"retraction":null,"screen":null,"direct_labels":[],"prediction":{"model_version":"codex-gemma-dda1882f352a","candidate_categories":[],"consensus_categories":[],"category_scores_codex":[0.0009319878,0.00008436391,0.0001634583,0.0001144674,0.0001371232,0.00001590082,0.0001922764,0.0000281347,0.00009969013],"category_scores_gemma":[0.00003661302,0.00006539694,0.00002136087,0.000385421,0.0001805263,0.00003659677,0.0000414323,0.0002275407,0.000001363428],"about_ca_system_candidate":false,"about_ca_system_consensus":false,"about_ca_system_score_codex":0.0003876568,"about_ca_system_score_gemma":0.004045069,"about_ca_topic_candidate":true,"about_ca_topic_consensus":true,"about_ca_topic_score_codex":0.9998508,"about_ca_topic_score_gemma":0.9999828,"domain_scores_codex":[0.9982213,0.0002725788,0.0002409052,0.0001687051,0.0006229401,0.0004735065],"domain_scores_gemma":[0.99932,0.0003067298,0.00003534386,0.0001918339,0.0000423864,0.0001036862],"domain_codex":null,"domain_gemma":null,"domain_candidate":null,"domain_consensus":null,"study_design_codex":"simulation_or_modeling","study_design_gemma":"observational","study_design_scores_codex":[0.0003041061,0.00004947529,0.0186329,0.0001677934,0.0002052734,0.0007859159,0.0005974812,0.5063247,0.001767523,0.3642972,0.101625,0.005242558],"study_design_scores_gemma":[0.001432019,0.00001788726,0.9606814,0.00001475632,0.000007258121,0.000001065988,0.001344792,0.005229557,0.00100295,0.001997809,0.02815645,0.0001140587],"study_design_candidate":"observational","study_design_consensus":null,"genre_codex":"empirical","genre_gemma":"empirical","genre_scores_codex":[0.9812788,0.0001156757,0.000003453082,0.007565202,0.000136391,0.0001338781,0.00004549119,0.000005990858,0.01071508],"genre_scores_gemma":[0.9929847,0.0002895339,0.00000594323,0.0001414252,0.00003796794,0.00003928668,0.0000274892,0.00001306648,0.006460648],"genre_candidate":"empirical","genre_consensus":"empirical","teacher_disagreement_score":0.9420485,"threshold_uncertainty_score":0.7175779,"prediction_status":"machine_predicted_unvalidated"},"machine_scores":{"provisional":true,"baseline":true,"maturity_gate_passed":false,"score_opus":0.02798980624528827,"score_gpt":0.2874610160302641,"score_spread":0.2594712097849758,"validation_status":"score_only:v0-immature-baseline","note":"Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed). Scores rank; they never assert a category."}}