{"id":"W6904989172","doi":"10.14288/1.0041841","title":"Verification of Mesoscale Numerical Weather Forecasts in Mountainous Terrain for Application to Avalanche Prediction.","year":2011,"lang":"en","type":"article","venue":"Open Collections","topic":"Cryospheric studies and observations","field":"Earth and Planetary Sciences","cited_by":0,"is_retracted":false,"has_abstract":true,"ca_institutions":"","funders":"","keywords":"Mesoscale meteorology; Terrain; Precipitation; North American Mesoscale Model; Weather Research and Forecasting Model; Numerical weather prediction; Downscaling; Atmospheric model","routes":{"ca_aff":false,"ca_fund":false,"ca_venue":false,"about_ca":true,"invisible_to_affiliation_only":true},"retraction":null,"screen":null,"direct_labels":[],"prediction":{"model_version":"metacan-v3-hybrid-931329e0061c","candidate_categories":[],"consensus_categories":[],"category_scores_codex":[0.0007163064,0.0003365727,0.0001962436,0.0003034209,0.0004576748,0.0005272268,0.000621972,0.0003014679,0.001014919],"category_scores_gemma":[0.002961397,0.0001782482,0.0002463841,0.0003847895,0.0001857723,0.0003311577,0.0002823831,0.0003695993,0.000184155],"about_ca_system_candidate":false,"about_ca_system_consensus":false,"about_ca_system_score_codex":0.001036436,"about_ca_system_score_gemma":0.002536492,"about_ca_topic_candidate":false,"about_ca_topic_consensus":false,"about_ca_topic_score_codex":0.2918986,"about_ca_topic_score_gemma":0.2980198,"domain_scores_codex":[0.999746,0.00005386757,0.00001890971,0.00004153835,0.0001108454,0.00002876457],"domain_scores_gemma":[0.9985906,0.0004016569,0.0001742545,0.0002307488,0.0005026429,0.000100103],"domain_codex":null,"domain_gemma":null,"domain_candidate":null,"domain_consensus":null,"study_design_codex":"simulation_or_modeling","study_design_gemma":"simulation_or_modeling","study_design_scores_codex":[0.00022589,0.0001767517,0.1097041,0.00009160981,0.00008277741,0.0003033884,0.0002191966,0.8420632,0.009449142,0.0008473416,0.002639655,0.03419692],"study_design_scores_gemma":[0.00003792112,0.00003524232,0.02682053,0.00000622822,0.00000677127,0.00001629698,0.00007157533,0.9705057,0.001688084,0.0001263331,0.0006765626,0.000008807733],"study_design_candidate":"simulation_or_modeling","study_design_consensus":"simulation_or_modeling","genre_codex":"empirical","genre_gemma":"empirical","genre_scores_codex":[0.9795783,0.00007588711,0.01240799,0.0001978244,0.00004620162,0.00007112561,0.002235494,0.001362585,0.004024629],"genre_scores_gemma":[0.9922436,0.0000218574,0.006521232,0.000008358328,0.000004355956,0.00001942295,0.0009344454,0.00002012908,0.0002265479],"genre_candidate":"empirical","genre_consensus":"empirical","teacher_disagreement_score":0.2918986,"threshold_uncertainty_score":0.5803992,"prediction_status":"machine_predicted_unvalidated"},"machine_scores":{"provisional":true,"baseline":true,"maturity_gate_passed":false,"score_opus":0.03437930217838962,"score_gpt":0.2423129979549432,"score_spread":0.2079336957765535,"validation_status":"score_only:v0-immature-baseline","note":"Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed). Scores rank; they never assert a category."}}