{"id":"W6920276173","doi":"10.60692/j5af9-jwa77","title":"Addressing complexity and uncertainty: conceptual models and expert judgments applied to migratory birds in the oil sands of Canada","year":2015,"lang":"en","type":"article","venue":"Greater South Information System","topic":"Ecosystem dynamics and resilience","field":"Environmental Science","cited_by":0,"is_retracted":false,"has_abstract":true,"ca_institutions":"Environment and Climate Change Canada","funders":"","keywords":"Oil sands; Conceptual model; Conceptual framework; Oil exploration; Expert system","routes":{"ca_aff":true,"ca_fund":false,"ca_venue":false,"about_ca":true,"invisible_to_affiliation_only":false},"retraction":null,"screen":null,"direct_labels":[],"prediction":{"model_version":"codex-gemma-dda1882f352a","candidate_categories":[],"consensus_categories":[],"category_scores_codex":[0.0004047317,0.00009125767,0.0001431028,0.00003733959,0.00007830225,0.0000458774,0.0001195436,0.00003448547,0.000002788951],"category_scores_gemma":[0.00000502328,0.00005980109,0.00000812848,0.0001133226,0.0000948368,0.000210777,0.00009008935,0.00004069674,0.000004171381],"about_ca_system_candidate":false,"about_ca_system_consensus":false,"about_ca_system_score_codex":0.000176538,"about_ca_system_score_gemma":0.00004058684,"about_ca_topic_candidate":true,"about_ca_topic_consensus":false,"about_ca_topic_score_codex":0.02690929,"about_ca_topic_score_gemma":0.009563697,"domain_scores_codex":[0.9990605,0.00004262223,0.0003108086,0.0001020153,0.0003370428,0.000146971],"domain_scores_gemma":[0.9996146,0.000007313526,0.0001174163,0.0001444264,0.0000149683,0.0001013059],"domain_codex":null,"domain_gemma":null,"domain_candidate":null,"domain_consensus":null,"study_design_codex":"qualitative","study_design_gemma":"qualitative","study_design_scores_codex":[0.00009705203,0.000005360635,0.2764767,0.0002307997,0.00001401429,0.000003457192,0.6607471,0.05910062,0.00003177142,0.001236931,0.0007679733,0.001288236],"study_design_scores_gemma":[0.002438016,0.00008632326,0.119914,0.0004011752,0.00001074774,0.00004087159,0.4677286,0.4080658,0.0001950524,0.00002413214,0.0005906156,0.0005045934],"study_design_candidate":"qualitative","study_design_consensus":"qualitative","genre_codex":"empirical","genre_gemma":"empirical","genre_scores_codex":[0.9914277,0.000007096517,0.0006684083,0.00005178917,0.00005534899,0.0001540329,0.00003709934,0.000008590315,0.007589901],"genre_scores_gemma":[0.9995584,1.672503e-7,0.0001067625,0.000284506,0.000005537338,0.00002624392,0.000002605697,0.000002667712,0.00001309166],"genre_candidate":"empirical","genre_consensus":"empirical","teacher_disagreement_score":0.3489652,"threshold_uncertainty_score":0.9795706,"prediction_status":"machine_predicted_unvalidated"},"machine_scores":{"provisional":true,"baseline":true,"maturity_gate_passed":false,"score_opus":0.08605310851528752,"score_gpt":0.2309920933333442,"score_spread":0.1449389848180567,"validation_status":"score_only:v0-immature-baseline","note":"Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed). Scores rank; they never assert a category."}}