{"id":"W6925649154","doi":"10.17863/cam.43971","title":"Population and fertility by age and sex for 195 countries and territories, 1950-2017: a systematic analysis for the Global Burden of Disease Study 2017.","year":2018,"lang":"en","type":"article","venue":"RECERCAT (Consorci de Serveis Universitaris de Catalunya)","topic":"Global Maternal and Child Health","field":"Medicine","cited_by":1,"is_retracted":false,"has_abstract":false,"ca_institutions":"","funders":"National Heart, Lung, and Blood Institute; Université de Limoges; Dipartimento di Medicina e Chirurgia, Università degli Studi di Milano-Bicocca; Biomedical Research Council; Erasmus Universitair Medisch Centrum Rotterdam; Research Institute for Endocrine Sciences, Shahid Beheshti University of Medical Sciences; Instituto de Salud Carlos III; Medical Research Council; Weill Cornell Medicine - Qatar; Weill Cornell Medical College; College of Engineering, Michigan State University; Centers for Disease Control and Prevention; Uniwersytet Opolski; Universidad de Ciencias Aplicadas y Ambientales; Debre Tabor University; Donau-Universität Krems; Universitair Ziekenhuis Antwerpen; Alfaisal University; Moscow Institute of Physics and Technology; Laboratório Associado para a Química Verde; Muhimbili University of Health and Allied Sciences; Public Health Foundation of India; Applied Molecular Biosciences Unit; Ministry of Health of the Russian Federation; Injury Prevention Research Center; Háskólinn í Reykjavík; University of Oxford; Menzies Health Institute Queensland; Kurdistan University Of Medical Sciences; Università degli Studi di Genova; Savitribai Phule Pune University; Universidade Federal do Rio Grande do Sul; University of Colombo; Hawassa University; University of Peradeniya; Xiamen University; University of Gondar; Western Sydney University; Tartu Ülikool; Universidad de la República Uruguay; Università degli Studi di Milano; Pomorski Uniwersytet Medyczny W Szczecinie; Universidade Federal de Minas Gerais; Universidad de Extremadura; University of New South Wales; Kermanshah University of Medical Sciences; Universidad del Valle; Università degli Studi di Salerno; Universidade do Porto; University of Tsukuba; Southern University of Science and Technology; International Medical University; Islamic Azad University; Aristotle University of Thessaloniki; Hospital for Sick Children; Baqiyatallah University of Medical Sciences; Universitat de Barcelona; University of Health and Allied Sciences; Universidade de Lisboa; Göteborgs Universitet; University of Social Welfare and Rehabilitation Sciences; Fundação Oswaldo Cruz; Universidad de Costa Rica; National and Kapodistrian University of Athens; Birjand University of Medical Sciences; Qazvin University of Medical Sciences; Guilan University of Medical Sciences; Universitair Medisch Centrum Groningen; Griffith University; Ahvaz Jundishapur University of Medical Sciences; University of Ottawa; Sichuan University; Chinese University of Hong Kong; University of California, San Diego; Vital Strategies; Hamadan University of Medical Sciences; Universiti Sains Malaysia; Mekelle University; Universiteit Stellenbosch; Chinese Center for Disease Control and Prevention; Tabriz University of Medical Sciences; Universidad Autónoma Metropolitana; Seoul National University Hospital; Shiraz University of Medical Sciences; Università degli Studi di Firenze; Karolinska Institutet; King Khalid University; Universiti Malaya; Isfahan University of Medical Sciences; Ministry of Health and Medical Education; Karl-Franzens-Universität Graz; Universitat de València; Hebrew University of Jerusalem; Georg-August-Universität Göttingen; Case Western Reserve University; Fudan University; West Virginia University; Kyung Hee University; Tarbiat Modares University; Hacettepe Üniversitesi; U.S. Department of Veterans Affairs; Kosin University; Sun Yat-sen University; North-West University; Simmons College; Jordan University of Science and Technology; Chest Research Foundation; King Saud University; International Centre for Diarrhoeal Disease Research, Bangladesh; Washington University in St. Louis; Monash University; University of Washington; Rijksuniversiteit Groningen; Shahid Beheshti University of Medical Sciences; Golestan University of Medical Sciences; Univerzita Komenského v Bratislave; Cardiff University; Indian Council of Medical Research; University College London; University of Southampton; Lomonosov Moscow State University; University of Queensland; National Institute for Health and Care Research; Wellcome Trust; Korea University; Cochrane South Africa; Public Health England; Imperial College London; University of Toronto; University of Louisville; Sanjay Gandhi Postgraduate Institute of Medical Sciences; University of Canberra; University of Namibia; Maragheh University of Medical Sciences; Brien Holden Vision Institute; Krishna Institute Of Medical Sciences Deemed To Be University; Directorate for Biological Sciences; Debre Markos University; Politechnika Czestochowska; Bundesministerium für Gesundheit; South African Medical Research Council; University of Pittsburgh; Tribhuvan University; NIHR Oxford Biomedical Research Centre; Universität Ulm; Chalmers Tekniska Högskola; Bournemouth University; Loma Linda University; University of Embu; Taipei Medical University; University College Cork; University of Rwanda; Trường Đại học Nguyễn Tất Thành; Central University of Tamil Nadu; Queensland Brain Institute; Newcastle University; Universitas Negeri Semarang; University of Tabriz; Ahmadu Bello University; Yonsei University; Birzeit University; Friedrich-Schiller-Universität Jena; Bill and Melinda Gates Foundation; Duke Kunshan University; Rede de Química e Tecnologia; Tulane University; Arak University of Medical Sciences; Ohio State University; University of Warwick; Johns Hopkins University; National Center for Global Health and Medicine; Central South University; Seattle Children's Research Institute; University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign; Arabian Gulf University; Seoul National University; University of Massachusetts Boston; Samara University; National Cerebral and Cardiovascular Center; University of the Punjab; Universidade Federal de Santa Catarina; National Health Research Institutes; University of West Florida; McMaster University; New York University Abu Dhabi; University of Glasgow; University of Technology Sydney; York University; University of California, Irvine; Sveučilište u Zagrebu; Universitetet i Oslo; Shiraz University; Sree Chitra Tirunal Institute for Medical Sciences and Technology; Lawson Health Research Institute; Syddansk Universitet; Deutsches Krebsforschungszentrum; Student Research Committee, Tabriz University of Medical Sciences; Frankfurt University of Applied Sciences; Arizona State University; University of Cape Town; Universidad de Chile; Aarhus Universitet; Teikyo University School of Medicine; University of the Western Cape; University of Memphis; National Taiwan University; University of Oklahoma; Michigan State University; Aksum University; University of Haifa; University of Hull; Faculty of Medicine and Health, University of Sydney; Universiti Brunei Darussalam; Medizinische Universität Graz; National Center for Child Health and Development; Durban University of Technology; Hamad Medical Corporation; Strong; Oklahoma State University; Australian Catholic University; An-Najah National University; Alborz University of Medical Sciences; Universidad Nacional de Colombia; Northwestern University; Deakin University; Delhi Technological University; Helsingin Yliopisto; Norwegian Institute of Public Health; United Nations Population Fund; National Institutes of Health; Banaras Hindu University; Wayne State University","keywords":"Fertility; Population; Estimation; Total fertility rate; Developed country; Demographic analysis","routes":{"ca_aff":false,"ca_fund":true,"ca_venue":false,"about_ca":false,"invisible_to_affiliation_only":true},"retraction":null,"screen":null,"direct_labels":[],"prediction":{"model_version":"codex-gemma-dda1882f352a","candidate_categories":[],"consensus_categories":[],"category_scores_codex":[0.0004966898,0.0001757183,0.0005355082,0.00008603615,0.0003306963,0.00004856095,0.0001193817,0.00008739901,0.000006100729],"category_scores_gemma":[0.0001174704,0.000135109,0.00008436368,0.0002185001,0.0002073062,0.0001265529,0.00008368004,0.00006178993,4.043999e-7],"about_ca_system_candidate":false,"about_ca_system_consensus":false,"about_ca_system_score_codex":0.0002863928,"about_ca_system_score_gemma":0.00009300185,"about_ca_topic_candidate":true,"about_ca_topic_consensus":false,"about_ca_topic_score_codex":0.01791678,"about_ca_topic_score_gemma":0.00316172,"domain_scores_codex":[0.9988728,0.00009692234,0.0002777577,0.0003210472,0.0001712898,0.0002602045],"domain_scores_gemma":[0.9988687,0.0002130573,0.000160447,0.0003168881,0.0001613186,0.0002795727],"domain_codex":null,"domain_gemma":null,"domain_candidate":null,"domain_consensus":null,"study_design_codex":"observational","study_design_gemma":"observational","study_design_scores_codex":[0.00131,0.00009063972,0.9892088,0.005477165,0.0008885672,0.00001006294,0.001972499,0.000003613166,0.00001581248,0.0002626884,0.0006785022,0.00008160944],"study_design_scores_gemma":[0.00200599,0.0005977003,0.9820267,0.0003703418,0.005345817,0.00001756746,0.005578603,0.002021407,0.00001808861,0.0004324684,0.001424687,0.000160614],"study_design_candidate":"observational","study_design_consensus":"observational","genre_codex":"empirical","genre_gemma":"empirical","genre_scores_codex":[0.9934635,0.002052691,0.0003207898,0.001020557,0.00005327068,0.001844048,0.001183814,0.00002423271,0.00003714762],"genre_scores_gemma":[0.9989866,0.0002149751,0.0001564392,0.0001403827,0.00006649328,0.00002009408,0.0001747803,0.000008532699,0.0002317109],"genre_candidate":"empirical","genre_consensus":"empirical","teacher_disagreement_score":0.01475506,"threshold_uncertainty_score":0.988623,"prediction_status":"machine_predicted_unvalidated"},"machine_scores":{"provisional":true,"baseline":true,"maturity_gate_passed":false,"score_opus":0.01717253000575959,"score_gpt":0.2823590841748022,"score_spread":0.2651865541690426,"validation_status":"score_only:v0-immature-baseline","note":"Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed). Scores rank; they never assert a category."}}