{"id":"W6945347937","doi":"10.24433/co.5791758.v1","title":"Compute Capsule for: Methods Matter: P-Hacking and Publication Bias in Causal Analysis in Economics","year":2022,"lang":"en","type":"other","venue":"Code Ocean","topic":"","field":"","cited_by":0,"is_retracted":false,"has_abstract":true,"ca_institutions":"University of Ottawa","funders":"","keywords":"Credibility; Regression discontinuity design; Causal analysis; Identification (biology); Instrumental variable; Causal inference; Publication bias; Randomized experiment; Selection bias","routes":{"ca_aff":true,"ca_fund":false,"ca_venue":false,"about_ca":false,"invisible_to_affiliation_only":false},"retraction":null,"screen":null,"direct_labels":[],"prediction":{"model_version":"codex-gemma-dda1882f352a","candidate_categories":["metaepi_narrow","insufficient_payload"],"consensus_categories":[],"category_scores_codex":[0.001896825,0.0003273677,0.0008124493,0.003385952,0.00004526292,0.0001499428,0.0003709579,0.0002119628,0.001845478],"category_scores_gemma":[0.00009384463,0.0004074963,0.0001317571,0.001235569,0.00005898168,0.0001059395,0.0002647808,0.000304129,0.00008612866],"about_ca_system_candidate":false,"about_ca_system_consensus":false,"about_ca_system_score_codex":0.0006300849,"about_ca_system_score_gemma":0.00008360963,"about_ca_topic_candidate":false,"about_ca_topic_consensus":false,"about_ca_topic_score_codex":0.000865022,"about_ca_topic_score_gemma":0.01269729,"domain_scores_codex":[0.9977337,0.0004593284,0.000553459,0.000792786,0.00009693366,0.000363838],"domain_scores_gemma":[0.9984701,0.000146851,0.0005942382,0.0006765247,0.00003072045,0.00008162028],"domain_codex":null,"domain_gemma":null,"domain_candidate":null,"domain_consensus":null,"study_design_codex":"not_applicable","study_design_gemma":"not_applicable","study_design_scores_codex":[0.00002487622,0.0001279339,0.230646,0.0001537545,0.0009803803,0.000006210184,0.0006920496,0.003542715,0.00002582651,0.001047276,0.7567479,0.006005082],"study_design_scores_gemma":[0.001127135,0.00001998231,0.0241348,0.00003741219,0.0004754252,0.000004974559,0.0001057122,0.08824348,0.00001598106,0.0003971113,0.8847519,0.0006860592],"study_design_candidate":"not_applicable","study_design_consensus":"not_applicable","genre_codex":"other","genre_gemma":"other","genre_scores_codex":[0.1005587,0.007044576,0.03704925,0.002690267,0.001696215,0.008714034,0.02278619,0.001954457,0.8175063],"genre_scores_gemma":[0.04927592,0.001011453,0.3711082,0.002803461,0.001109402,0.0006049232,0.03606013,0.01081221,0.5272143],"genre_candidate":"other","genre_consensus":"other","teacher_disagreement_score":0.334059,"threshold_uncertainty_score":0.9998377,"prediction_status":"machine_predicted_unvalidated"},"machine_scores":{"provisional":true,"baseline":true,"maturity_gate_passed":false,"score_opus":0.06669567634370356,"score_gpt":0.3529501185984761,"score_spread":0.2862544422547726,"validation_status":"score_only:v0-immature-baseline","note":"Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed). Scores rank; they never assert a category."}}