{"id":"W6945381232","doi":"10.25384/sage.c.6036071.v1","title":"A poisson-multinomial spatial model for simultaneous outbreaks with application to arboviral diseases","year":2022,"lang":"en","type":"other","venue":"Sage Journals Data","topic":"","field":"","cited_by":0,"is_retracted":false,"has_abstract":true,"ca_institutions":"McGill University","funders":"","keywords":"Dengue fever; Outbreak; Chikungunya; Estimation; Poisson distribution; Chikungunya fever; Odds; Population","routes":{"ca_aff":true,"ca_fund":false,"ca_venue":false,"about_ca":false,"invisible_to_affiliation_only":false},"retraction":null,"screen":null,"direct_labels":[],"prediction":{"model_version":"metacan-v3-hybrid-931329e0061c","candidate_categories":[],"consensus_categories":[],"category_scores_codex":[0.01265109,0.001917465,0.00341546,0.002542061,0.001478242,0.003187637,0.007383146,0.003520845,0.00845564],"category_scores_gemma":[0.02232016,0.002193989,0.004416357,0.002931562,0.002170111,0.003052304,0.003317453,0.003777765,0.001396725],"about_ca_system_candidate":false,"about_ca_system_consensus":false,"about_ca_system_score_codex":0.002997167,"about_ca_system_score_gemma":0.003202849,"about_ca_topic_candidate":false,"about_ca_topic_consensus":false,"about_ca_topic_score_codex":0.06547994,"about_ca_topic_score_gemma":0.03496895,"domain_scores_codex":[0.9942366,0.003279745,0.0003321092,0.001089742,0.0004837322,0.0005780895],"domain_scores_gemma":[0.9810684,0.01466604,0.001697256,0.0004926931,0.001559754,0.0005158374],"domain_codex":null,"domain_gemma":null,"domain_candidate":null,"domain_consensus":null,"study_design_codex":"simulation_or_modeling","study_design_gemma":"simulation_or_modeling","study_design_scores_codex":[0.0002134261,0.000162368,0.01390813,0.0002622411,0.0003929807,0.0008882473,0.0005628464,0.8598535,0.0004410595,0.1056695,0.003389001,0.01425676],"study_design_scores_gemma":[0.00005164014,0.00004002389,0.0008576731,0.00002611831,0.00005195169,0.00007340475,0.00008660633,0.9826578,0.00003842737,0.01487572,0.001208859,0.00003171657],"study_design_candidate":"simulation_or_modeling","study_design_consensus":"simulation_or_modeling","genre_codex":"methods","genre_gemma":"other","genre_scores_codex":[0.06530764,0.002213917,0.9219996,0.00263477,0.0004894165,0.0003867016,0.00259704,0.000706597,0.003664261],"genre_scores_gemma":[0.7782013,0.003301569,0.1833285,0.0007715912,0.0009453697,0.001724759,0.004906759,0.0003979311,0.02642223],"genre_candidate":"other","genre_consensus":null,"teacher_disagreement_score":0.06547994,"threshold_uncertainty_score":0.1301976,"prediction_status":"machine_predicted_unvalidated"},"machine_scores":{"provisional":true,"baseline":true,"maturity_gate_passed":false,"score_opus":0.02976207080449068,"score_gpt":0.3147922904150548,"score_spread":0.2850302196105641,"validation_status":"score_only:v0-immature-baseline","note":"Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed). Scores rank; they never assert a category."}}