{"id":"W6946381040","doi":"10.34989/san-2023-18","title":"Finding the balance—measuring risks to inflation and to GDP growth","year":2023,"lang":"en","type":"article","venue":"Bank of Canada Research","topic":"COVID-19 Pandemic Impacts","field":"Economics, Econometrics and Finance","cited_by":0,"is_retracted":false,"has_abstract":true,"ca_institutions":"Bank of Canada","funders":"","keywords":"Inflation (cosmology); Real gross domestic product; Economic stability; Real interest rate; Monetary policy","routes":{"ca_aff":true,"ca_fund":false,"ca_venue":false,"about_ca":false,"invisible_to_affiliation_only":false},"retraction":null,"screen":null,"direct_labels":[],"prediction":{"model_version":"metacan-v3-hybrid-931329e0061c","candidate_categories":[],"consensus_categories":[],"category_scores_codex":[0.004398641,0.0005882434,0.0003609281,0.003156758,0.0008576118,0.004276372,0.000556914,0.001118597,0.003506138],"category_scores_gemma":[0.02187958,0.0001894035,0.0004736635,0.003956811,0.001657793,0.004236264,0.0018115,0.00157281,0.0006214118],"about_ca_system_candidate":true,"about_ca_system_consensus":false,"about_ca_system_score_codex":0.002724463,"about_ca_system_score_gemma":0.002654431,"about_ca_topic_candidate":true,"about_ca_topic_consensus":false,"about_ca_topic_score_codex":0.04601579,"about_ca_topic_score_gemma":0.04460027,"domain_scores_codex":[0.997735,0.0006609733,0.0001499532,0.0002794275,0.0009877246,0.0001868635],"domain_scores_gemma":[0.9919552,0.003523216,0.00239655,0.0006053672,0.001123078,0.0003966371],"domain_codex":null,"domain_gemma":null,"domain_candidate":null,"domain_consensus":null,"study_design_codex":"observational","study_design_gemma":"theoretical_or_conceptual","study_design_scores_codex":[0.0003702479,0.0001379814,0.4916287,0.0002168892,0.0003070426,0.0003133877,0.005561858,0.03222226,0.003399336,0.3150767,0.01165353,0.1391121],"study_design_scores_gemma":[0.00003971855,0.0002910013,0.3594976,0.0002826785,0.0001440643,0.0005459728,0.005930878,0.08092897,0.006035501,0.5054879,0.04048967,0.0003262073],"study_design_candidate":"theoretical_or_conceptual","study_design_consensus":null,"genre_codex":"empirical","genre_gemma":"empirical","genre_scores_codex":[0.7052699,0.002698886,0.1416017,0.01160461,0.0002792143,0.0001157299,0.007441792,0.0004552038,0.130533],"genre_scores_gemma":[0.9783561,0.0005683543,0.016552,0.0002320199,0.00008147253,0.00004914971,0.0009632614,0.00006349112,0.003134179],"genre_candidate":"empirical","genre_consensus":"empirical","teacher_disagreement_score":0.9972755,"threshold_uncertainty_score":0.09149593,"prediction_status":"machine_predicted_unvalidated"},"machine_scores":{"provisional":true,"baseline":true,"maturity_gate_passed":false,"score_opus":0.2508511680667286,"score_gpt":0.360548866045261,"score_spread":0.1096976979785323,"validation_status":"score_only:v0-immature-baseline","note":"Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed). Scores rank; they never assert a category."}}