{"id":"W6990565573","doi":"","title":"Dow, S&P 500 on track for worst start to a quarter since 2008 financial crisis as recession fears accelerate","year":2019,"lang":"en","type":"other","venue":"","topic":"Economic, financial, and policy analysis","field":"Economics, Econometrics and Finance","cited_by":0,"is_retracted":false,"has_abstract":false,"ca_institutions":"","funders":"","keywords":"Financial crisis; Recession; Track (disk drive); Quarter (Canadian coin); Global recession","routes":{"ca_aff":false,"ca_fund":false,"ca_venue":false,"about_ca":true,"invisible_to_affiliation_only":true},"retraction":null,"screen":null,"direct_labels":[],"prediction":{"model_version":"codex-gemma-dda1882f352a","candidate_categories":["metaepi_narrow","insufficient_payload"],"consensus_categories":["insufficient_payload"],"category_scores_codex":[0.0005665556,0.0007735128,0.001798564,0.001484832,0.0002014895,0.000274723,0.0007377967,0.00094892,0.01331736],"category_scores_gemma":[0.0002022592,0.0008509539,0.0007505403,0.0005166865,0.0000489408,0.0002139733,0.00008670655,0.0004098421,0.06165555],"about_ca_system_candidate":false,"about_ca_system_consensus":false,"about_ca_system_score_codex":0.0002833125,"about_ca_system_score_gemma":0.0001563766,"about_ca_topic_candidate":false,"about_ca_topic_consensus":false,"about_ca_topic_score_codex":0.005894353,"about_ca_topic_score_gemma":0.01008327,"domain_scores_codex":[0.9960667,0.00003454255,0.001302872,0.001582811,0.000082268,0.000930738],"domain_scores_gemma":[0.9971653,0.0001396848,0.001004053,0.001344622,0.00005507185,0.0002913144],"domain_codex":null,"domain_gemma":null,"domain_candidate":null,"domain_consensus":null,"study_design_codex":"not_applicable","study_design_gemma":"not_applicable","study_design_scores_codex":[0.0001784952,0.000143862,0.0002790261,0.0001020752,0.0001225111,0.000001171054,0.0003212539,0.00005739785,0.000004371193,0.02321722,0.9746117,0.0009609415],"study_design_scores_gemma":[0.0008361802,0.0002115785,0.0002740375,0.0001278361,0.00004035548,0.000001190968,0.00003747906,0.0000315096,0.00003272834,0.004295791,0.9929907,0.001120643],"study_design_candidate":"not_applicable","study_design_consensus":"not_applicable","genre_codex":"other","genre_gemma":"other","genre_scores_codex":[0.006161174,0.001491381,0.005082813,0.009319809,0.00304045,0.002268082,0.004695161,0.0002567096,0.9676844],"genre_scores_gemma":[0.004074325,0.0013928,0.003669523,0.009995343,0.001986798,0.000277967,0.0003970176,0.000603578,0.9776027],"genre_candidate":"other","genre_consensus":"other","teacher_disagreement_score":0.04833819,"threshold_uncertainty_score":0.9993941,"prediction_status":"machine_predicted_unvalidated"},"machine_scores":{"provisional":true,"baseline":true,"maturity_gate_passed":false,"score_opus":0.05697285552248742,"score_gpt":0.2825674187087653,"score_spread":0.2255945631862779,"validation_status":"score_only:v0-immature-baseline","note":"Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed). Scores rank; they never assert a category."}}