{"id":"W6990955490","doi":"","title":"Es wird nicht besser: IW-Konjunkturprognose Winter 2024","year":2024,"lang":"de","type":"other","venue":"Econstor (Econstor)","topic":"","field":"","cited_by":0,"is_retracted":false,"has_abstract":true,"ca_institutions":"","funders":"","keywords":"Private enterprise; Private consumption; Quarter (Canadian coin)","routes":{"ca_aff":false,"ca_fund":false,"ca_venue":false,"about_ca":true,"invisible_to_affiliation_only":true},"retraction":null,"screen":null,"direct_labels":[],"prediction":{"model_version":"metacan-v3-hybrid-931329e0061c","candidate_categories":[],"consensus_categories":[],"category_scores_codex":[0.003007392,0.0009151044,0.0004638351,0.001489831,0.002160181,0.009349086,0.001235305,0.002717056,0.1821163],"category_scores_gemma":[0.004153344,0.0003274725,0.0007574661,0.001341389,0.0004595586,0.003971789,0.004849012,0.002244506,0.1024005],"about_ca_system_candidate":false,"about_ca_system_consensus":false,"about_ca_system_score_codex":0.003019067,"about_ca_system_score_gemma":0.01218908,"about_ca_topic_candidate":false,"about_ca_topic_consensus":false,"about_ca_topic_score_codex":0.02888192,"about_ca_topic_score_gemma":0.03822454,"domain_scores_codex":[0.9983387,0.0001744042,0.00007566373,0.0001593981,0.0006308309,0.000620869],"domain_scores_gemma":[0.9969055,0.0001496422,0.0001445276,0.0001828567,0.001195656,0.00142181],"domain_codex":null,"domain_gemma":null,"domain_candidate":null,"domain_consensus":null,"study_design_codex":"not_applicable","study_design_gemma":"simulation_or_modeling","study_design_scores_codex":[0.0002452326,0.0001504415,0.005575994,0.000351724,0.00002999898,0.0001931169,0.0006185849,0.0007322062,0.001627687,0.0202379,0.7504688,0.2197685],"study_design_scores_gemma":[0.00001845787,0.00006574849,0.006142313,0.0001333506,0.00001094996,0.00003018942,0.001039136,0.0002576587,0.0004456099,0.002673644,0.9891675,0.00001547322],"study_design_candidate":"simulation_or_modeling","study_design_consensus":null,"genre_codex":"other","genre_gemma":"empirical","genre_scores_codex":[0.0384431,0.005445064,0.006388533,0.0735423,0.01618746,0.0006145375,0.03664862,0.004297009,0.8184333],"genre_scores_gemma":[0.1195281,0.00374984,0.005536844,0.008752137,0.001071167,0.0007008701,0.03264061,0.001440637,0.8265798],"genre_candidate":"empirical","genre_consensus":null,"teacher_disagreement_score":0.1821163,"threshold_uncertainty_score":0.6092397,"prediction_status":"machine_predicted_unvalidated"},"machine_scores":{"provisional":true,"baseline":true,"maturity_gate_passed":false,"score_opus":0.01218819386798521,"score_gpt":0.2508524940859735,"score_spread":0.2386643002179883,"validation_status":"score_only:v0-immature-baseline","note":"Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed). Scores rank; they never assert a category."}}