{"id":"W7009430961","doi":"","title":"The Effects of Investor Behavior on Market Predictability","year":2022,"lang":"en","type":"other","venue":"International Journal of Commerce and Finance (Istanbul Commerce University)","topic":"","field":"","cited_by":0,"is_retracted":false,"has_abstract":true,"ca_institutions":"","funders":"","keywords":"Predictability; Treynor ratio; Capital asset pricing model; Sharpe ratio; Estimation; Closing (real estate)","routes":{"ca_aff":false,"ca_fund":false,"ca_venue":false,"about_ca":true,"invisible_to_affiliation_only":true},"retraction":null,"screen":null,"direct_labels":[],"prediction":{"model_version":"metacan-v3-hybrid-931329e0061c","candidate_categories":[],"consensus_categories":[],"category_scores_codex":[0.005890091,0.0002812637,0.0003340702,0.0006412948,0.0002717996,0.001155567,0.0003034489,0.0004787506,0.001483515],"category_scores_gemma":[0.03814966,0.0001628506,0.0004001273,0.000599385,0.0004775497,0.001005722,0.0005961248,0.0009304428,0.0002543431],"about_ca_system_candidate":false,"about_ca_system_consensus":false,"about_ca_system_score_codex":0.0004809647,"about_ca_system_score_gemma":0.0003373501,"about_ca_topic_candidate":false,"about_ca_topic_consensus":false,"about_ca_topic_score_codex":0.001585406,"about_ca_topic_score_gemma":0.001562731,"domain_scores_codex":[0.9958745,0.00176315,0.0003895328,0.0005632329,0.0009439833,0.0004655885],"domain_scores_gemma":[0.9286991,0.04016116,0.02409546,0.003757242,0.001986484,0.001300555],"domain_codex":null,"domain_gemma":null,"domain_candidate":null,"domain_consensus":null,"study_design_codex":"observational","study_design_gemma":"observational","study_design_scores_codex":[0.0003036137,0.0001086488,0.9882498,0.00001407229,0.0001270616,0.0001814221,0.0001642967,0.001555226,0.0006087623,0.0004666752,0.0001682405,0.008052197],"study_design_scores_gemma":[0.00001148756,0.0004344432,0.9871761,0.00001069404,0.00008612996,0.000216792,0.000249251,0.009256783,0.001332614,0.000808149,0.0004018805,0.00001559659],"study_design_candidate":"observational","study_design_consensus":"observational","genre_codex":"empirical","genre_gemma":"empirical","genre_scores_codex":[0.9951211,0.0001710041,0.001232166,0.0002362043,0.0000180012,0.00001936026,0.00009793669,0.00001706505,0.00308712],"genre_scores_gemma":[0.9994203,0.00003780218,0.0001529201,0.00003413938,0.00001502345,0.000005247269,0.00005179497,0.000003390597,0.0002795228],"genre_candidate":"empirical","genre_consensus":"empirical","teacher_disagreement_score":0.005890091,"threshold_uncertainty_score":0.0311501,"prediction_status":"machine_predicted_unvalidated"},"machine_scores":{"provisional":true,"baseline":true,"maturity_gate_passed":false,"score_opus":0.007624452220816262,"score_gpt":0.2250493126196682,"score_spread":0.2174248603988519,"validation_status":"score_only:v0-immature-baseline","note":"Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed). Scores rank; they never assert a category."}}