{"id":"W7011835729","doi":"","title":"A Novel and Accurate Method for Estimating Deaths and Cases During Outbreaks of Infectious Diseases Including COVID-19","year":2023,"lang":"en","type":"article","venue":"DOAJ (DOAJ: Directory of Open Access Journals)","topic":"COVID-19 epidemiological studies","field":"Mathematics","cited_by":0,"is_retracted":false,"has_abstract":true,"ca_institutions":"","funders":"","keywords":"Outbreak; Gompertz function; Pandemic; Infectious disease (medical specialty); Epidemiology; Coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19); Public health","routes":{"ca_aff":false,"ca_fund":false,"ca_venue":false,"about_ca":true,"invisible_to_affiliation_only":true},"retraction":null,"screen":null,"direct_labels":[],"prediction":{"model_version":"metacan-v3-hybrid-931329e0061c","candidate_categories":["metaresearch"],"consensus_categories":[],"category_scores_codex":[0.001777441,0.0007809998,0.0006261062,0.002267056,0.0003069575,0.000681475,0.001376972,0.0009161107,0.001613421],"category_scores_gemma":[0.007303106,0.000387528,0.0008412901,0.00119588,0.0002773426,0.001383953,0.001079334,0.001066945,0.0008164474],"about_ca_system_candidate":false,"about_ca_system_consensus":false,"about_ca_system_score_codex":0.0009269693,"about_ca_system_score_gemma":0.001163092,"about_ca_topic_candidate":false,"about_ca_topic_consensus":false,"about_ca_topic_score_codex":0.005325182,"about_ca_topic_score_gemma":0.004653884,"domain_scores_codex":[0.99884,0.0002433449,0.00009506685,0.0003137666,0.0004509732,0.0000569283],"domain_scores_gemma":[0.9974695,0.0009873714,0.0005061096,0.0003207825,0.0006452528,0.00007093598],"domain_codex":null,"domain_gemma":"methods","domain_candidate":"methods","domain_consensus":null,"study_design_codex":"design_other","study_design_gemma":"theoretical_or_conceptual","study_design_scores_codex":[0.0003834738,0.0002389341,0.08098211,0.0002059655,0.0002074139,0.0002776706,0.0002349507,0.387146,0.01424695,0.01304268,0.008695573,0.4943384],"study_design_scores_gemma":[0.00002746172,0.00008033512,0.007602988,0.00001953111,0.00002520065,0.0002954404,0.00004938652,0.9795324,0.003507397,0.004965725,0.003850728,0.00004345869],"study_design_candidate":"theoretical_or_conceptual","study_design_consensus":null,"genre_codex":"methods","genre_gemma":"methods","genre_scores_codex":[0.03181975,0.000162271,0.9644135,0.000244703,0.000103781,0.00007909516,0.001092991,0.0006917621,0.001392179],"genre_scores_gemma":[0.4273179,0.0003999364,0.564809,0.0001740321,0.0001933844,0.0002810671,0.003516446,0.0001153752,0.003192851],"genre_candidate":"methods","genre_consensus":"methods","teacher_disagreement_score":0.9982225,"threshold_uncertainty_score":0.01058835,"prediction_status":"machine_predicted_unvalidated"},"machine_scores":{"provisional":true,"baseline":true,"maturity_gate_passed":false,"score_opus":0.6905598874467699,"score_gpt":0.6691867046654569,"score_spread":0.02137318278131295,"validation_status":"score_only:v0-immature-baseline","note":"Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed). Scores rank; they never assert a category."}}