{"id":"W7013070879","doi":"","title":"Nowcasting Norway","year":2013,"lang":"en","type":"report","venue":"Dépôt institutionnel de l'Université libre de Bruxelles (Université Libre de Bruxelles)","topic":"Reproductive Physiology in Livestock","field":"Agricultural and Biological Sciences","cited_by":0,"is_retracted":false,"has_abstract":true,"ca_institutions":"","funders":"","keywords":"Nowcasting; Benchmark (surveying); Bayesian probability; Dynamic factor; Quarter (Canadian coin); Bayesian inference; Consensus forecast","routes":{"ca_aff":false,"ca_fund":false,"ca_venue":false,"about_ca":true,"invisible_to_affiliation_only":true},"retraction":null,"screen":null,"direct_labels":[],"prediction":{"model_version":"codex-gemma-dda1882f352a","candidate_categories":["metaepi_narrow","sts","research_integrity","insufficient_payload"],"consensus_categories":["metaepi_narrow","insufficient_payload"],"category_scores_codex":[0.0009051789,0.001545581,0.001536797,0.0004107591,0.002572768,0.0003854645,0.003299512,0.002231264,0.004208793],"category_scores_gemma":[0.000408682,0.001078165,0.001184513,0.001883236,0.001071001,0.001961221,0.001979641,0.002259812,0.001399791],"about_ca_system_candidate":false,"about_ca_system_consensus":false,"about_ca_system_score_codex":0.003057006,"about_ca_system_score_gemma":0.002031712,"about_ca_topic_candidate":true,"about_ca_topic_consensus":false,"about_ca_topic_score_codex":0.006731037,"about_ca_topic_score_gemma":0.000683637,"domain_scores_codex":[0.9923674,0.0006759217,0.0008655846,0.002461447,0.001285422,0.002344194],"domain_scores_gemma":[0.9949743,0.000664241,0.001227574,0.0008752627,0.001097307,0.001161351],"domain_codex":null,"domain_gemma":null,"domain_candidate":null,"domain_consensus":null,"study_design_codex":"not_applicable","study_design_gemma":"not_applicable","study_design_scores_codex":[0.002257607,0.00160546,0.0179597,0.000920626,0.002339263,0.003859307,0.006780229,0.005487038,0.1768194,0.008817349,0.6720439,0.1011102],"study_design_scores_gemma":[0.002605016,0.0009931677,0.192093,0.0009597818,0.0008299123,0.0024785,0.009364115,0.00126424,0.001282339,0.001517563,0.7834827,0.003129704],"study_design_candidate":"not_applicable","study_design_consensus":"not_applicable","genre_codex":"empirical","genre_gemma":"empirical","genre_scores_codex":[0.8832232,0.004084941,0.0006792739,0.003000794,0.001613414,0.001541798,0.0008158081,0.0009909031,0.1040498],"genre_scores_gemma":[0.8828736,0.0108819,0.004592762,0.001133638,0.007339366,0.00007680229,0.002821691,0.0001105213,0.09016976],"genre_candidate":"empirical","genre_consensus":"empirical","teacher_disagreement_score":0.175537,"threshold_uncertainty_score":0.9998832,"prediction_status":"machine_predicted_unvalidated"},"machine_scores":{"provisional":true,"baseline":true,"maturity_gate_passed":false,"score_opus":0.02293776722617356,"score_gpt":0.2093188104809836,"score_spread":0.18638104325481,"validation_status":"score_only:v0-immature-baseline","note":"Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed). Scores rank; they never assert a category."}}