{"id":"W7018179141","doi":"","title":"Commodity Markets Outlook, January 2015","year":2015,"lang":"en","type":"book","venue":"RePEc: Research Papers in Economics","topic":"Market Dynamics and Volatility","field":"Economics, Econometrics and Finance","cited_by":0,"is_retracted":false,"has_abstract":true,"ca_institutions":"","funders":"","keywords":"Liberian dollar; Oil price; Commodity; Petroleum; Quarter (Canadian coin); Supply and demand; Crude oil; Volatility (finance); Profit margin","routes":{"ca_aff":false,"ca_fund":false,"ca_venue":false,"about_ca":true,"invisible_to_affiliation_only":true},"retraction":null,"screen":null,"direct_labels":[],"prediction":{"model_version":"metacan-v3-hybrid-931329e0061c","candidate_categories":["insufficient_payload"],"consensus_categories":[],"category_scores_codex":[0.0008798012,0.001319534,0.0005823544,0.00283945,0.0009292247,0.005417097,0.0009150264,0.001096181,0.3002228],"category_scores_gemma":[0.00281763,0.0005683296,0.0005067533,0.005043052,0.0003170472,0.004035045,0.001691501,0.001880574,0.2743785],"about_ca_system_candidate":false,"about_ca_system_consensus":false,"about_ca_system_score_codex":0.002544311,"about_ca_system_score_gemma":0.004058555,"about_ca_topic_candidate":false,"about_ca_topic_consensus":false,"about_ca_topic_score_codex":0.03501109,"about_ca_topic_score_gemma":0.04519917,"domain_scores_codex":[0.99925,0.00004848859,0.00004493897,0.00008999807,0.0004764055,0.00009016877],"domain_scores_gemma":[0.998973,0.0000541816,0.00006423771,0.0000792364,0.000712039,0.0001174071],"domain_codex":null,"domain_gemma":null,"domain_candidate":null,"domain_consensus":null,"study_design_codex":"not_applicable","study_design_gemma":"not_applicable","study_design_scores_codex":[0.00002012026,0.00001418943,0.000263193,0.0001011066,0.000003910691,0.00001842021,0.00001817374,0.0001070515,0.00008906696,0.005494708,0.955151,0.03871914],"study_design_scores_gemma":[0.000003038832,0.00000569202,0.000615872,0.0001066087,0.000001658154,0.00001260718,0.00002702413,0.00006674836,0.00004587924,0.0009493267,0.9981605,0.000005027743],"study_design_candidate":"not_applicable","study_design_consensus":"not_applicable","genre_codex":"other","genre_gemma":"other","genre_scores_codex":[0.001101321,0.009482407,0.00215261,0.00724355,0.005387541,0.0001434604,0.1459639,0.002047003,0.8264782],"genre_scores_gemma":[0.006288846,0.01852174,0.00331949,0.001358196,0.0009645569,0.0001767357,0.1575956,0.0009729099,0.810802],"genre_candidate":"other","genre_consensus":"other","teacher_disagreement_score":0.3002228,"threshold_uncertainty_score":0.9981472,"prediction_status":"machine_predicted_unvalidated"},"machine_scores":{"provisional":true,"baseline":true,"maturity_gate_passed":false,"score_opus":0.0523771085220935,"score_gpt":0.2952043306595326,"score_spread":0.2428272221374391,"validation_status":"score_only:v0-immature-baseline","note":"Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed). Scores rank; they never assert a category."}}