{"id":"W7020581738","doi":"","title":"Le pouvoir prédictif de la pente des taux sur les probabilités de récession au Canada","year":2025,"lang":"fr","type":"other","venue":"Archipelago (University of Quebec in Montreal)","topic":"Economic Theory and Policy","field":"Economics, Econometrics and Finance","cited_by":0,"is_retracted":false,"has_abstract":true,"ca_institutions":"","funders":"","keywords":"Homogeneous; Econometric analysis; Natural logarithm","routes":{"ca_aff":false,"ca_fund":false,"ca_venue":false,"about_ca":true,"invisible_to_affiliation_only":true},"retraction":null,"screen":null,"direct_labels":[],"prediction":{"model_version":"metacan-v3-hybrid-931329e0061c","candidate_categories":[],"consensus_categories":[],"category_scores_codex":[0.001674175,0.0005089059,0.0006672013,0.001580728,0.001235972,0.002947331,0.0007457475,0.000727714,0.006929038],"category_scores_gemma":[0.009565198,0.0004295302,0.001060067,0.002359733,0.0007284082,0.0009234797,0.0009168054,0.00147561,0.0006515802],"about_ca_system_candidate":false,"about_ca_system_consensus":false,"about_ca_system_score_codex":0.00698022,"about_ca_system_score_gemma":0.01441793,"about_ca_topic_candidate":true,"about_ca_topic_consensus":true,"about_ca_topic_score_codex":0.9063841,"about_ca_topic_score_gemma":0.8662875,"domain_scores_codex":[0.9994414,0.00007185919,0.00002000021,0.0001537352,0.0001665749,0.0001463166],"domain_scores_gemma":[0.9953852,0.002143332,0.0005594442,0.000267141,0.001341465,0.0003034232],"domain_codex":null,"domain_gemma":null,"domain_candidate":null,"domain_consensus":null,"study_design_codex":"observational","study_design_gemma":"simulation_or_modeling","study_design_scores_codex":[0.0003358719,0.00003552594,0.8484734,0.0001354851,0.0003188996,0.0002008314,0.0007657857,0.08594927,0.0008892174,0.009704004,0.005770042,0.0474216],"study_design_scores_gemma":[0.00003735277,0.00006196707,0.6763566,0.0002845108,0.0002721667,0.0001549711,0.001574394,0.2955863,0.001417093,0.01072202,0.01342776,0.0001047971],"study_design_candidate":"simulation_or_modeling","study_design_consensus":null,"genre_codex":"empirical","genre_gemma":"empirical","genre_scores_codex":[0.9507274,0.002040949,0.02379442,0.003248837,0.00005760736,0.00006350155,0.006174111,0.0003617893,0.01353144],"genre_scores_gemma":[0.9867979,0.001186337,0.002434825,0.0001206704,0.00002439102,0.00002277898,0.002184281,0.00006218968,0.007166752],"genre_candidate":"empirical","genre_consensus":"empirical","teacher_disagreement_score":0.09361595,"threshold_uncertainty_score":0.1883345,"prediction_status":"machine_predicted_unvalidated"},"machine_scores":{"provisional":true,"baseline":true,"maturity_gate_passed":false,"score_opus":0.00848711098717971,"score_gpt":0.1800295646375957,"score_spread":0.171542453650416,"validation_status":"score_only:v0-immature-baseline","note":"Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed). Scores rank; they never assert a category."}}