{"id":"W7034784522","doi":"","title":"Wintertime compound extremes in Europe and North America : from dynamics to predictability","year":2023,"lang":"en","type":"article","venue":"KTH Publication Database DiVA (KTH Royal Institute of Technology)","topic":"X-ray Spectroscopy and Fluorescence Analysis","field":"Physics and Astronomy","cited_by":0,"is_retracted":false,"has_abstract":true,"ca_institutions":"","funders":"","keywords":"Extratropical cyclone; Jet stream; Cold front; Storm track; Predictability; Precipitation; Winter storm; Storm; Atmospheric circulation","routes":{"ca_aff":false,"ca_fund":false,"ca_venue":false,"about_ca":true,"invisible_to_affiliation_only":true},"retraction":null,"screen":null,"direct_labels":[],"prediction":{"model_version":"metacan-v3-hybrid-931329e0061c","candidate_categories":[],"consensus_categories":[],"category_scores_codex":[0.0003711786,0.0002147221,0.0002936904,0.000797009,0.0002203839,0.001383864,0.000150749,0.000244927,0.001122749],"category_scores_gemma":[0.001169335,0.0001300009,0.0002331756,0.0009928865,0.0003812038,0.0007299118,0.0007196118,0.000324906,0.00009166577],"about_ca_system_candidate":false,"about_ca_system_consensus":false,"about_ca_system_score_codex":0.0004881767,"about_ca_system_score_gemma":0.0002393178,"about_ca_topic_candidate":false,"about_ca_topic_consensus":false,"about_ca_topic_score_codex":0.01510294,"about_ca_topic_score_gemma":0.01463437,"domain_scores_codex":[0.999879,0.00002642693,0.000008391337,0.00003682525,0.0000259881,0.00002343494],"domain_scores_gemma":[0.9994603,0.0001719956,0.0002299356,0.00002431993,0.00005011836,0.00006331966],"domain_codex":null,"domain_gemma":null,"domain_candidate":null,"domain_consensus":null,"study_design_codex":"observational","study_design_gemma":"simulation_or_modeling","study_design_scores_codex":[0.0001664525,0.00003855985,0.9302205,0.00004053412,0.0002352041,0.0002283181,0.0003732923,0.03204263,0.001263846,0.003877369,0.001922207,0.02959115],"study_design_scores_gemma":[0.000008647961,0.00002774617,0.9660413,0.00003580107,0.00002700624,0.00007890118,0.0003564207,0.02639632,0.0001118916,0.004663913,0.002239781,0.00001230132],"study_design_candidate":"simulation_or_modeling","study_design_consensus":null,"genre_codex":"empirical","genre_gemma":"empirical","genre_scores_codex":[0.9897507,0.002090498,0.0009751123,0.0005549758,0.00002189886,0.000005321976,0.0005477462,0.00004633159,0.006007499],"genre_scores_gemma":[0.9987718,0.0005719936,0.0001441193,0.0000282955,0.00003022881,0.000002743476,0.0002541886,0.000005838918,0.0001907932],"genre_candidate":"empirical","genre_consensus":"empirical","teacher_disagreement_score":0.01510294,"threshold_uncertainty_score":0.03003007,"prediction_status":"machine_predicted_unvalidated"},"machine_scores":{"provisional":true,"baseline":true,"maturity_gate_passed":false,"score_opus":0.01331428330181965,"score_gpt":0.2525254955855964,"score_spread":0.2392112122837767,"validation_status":"score_only:v0-immature-baseline","note":"Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed). Scores rank; they never assert a category."}}