{"id":"W7037932636","doi":"","title":"Essays in Risk Management","year":2020,"lang":"en","type":"article","venue":"ResearchArchive–Te Puna Rangahau (Victoria University of Wellington)","topic":"Ecology and Vegetation Dynamics Studies","field":"Environmental Science","cited_by":0,"is_retracted":false,"has_abstract":true,"ca_institutions":"","funders":"","keywords":"Surprise; Volatility (finance); Market liquidity; Proxy (statistics); Private information retrieval; Liberian dollar; Realized variance; Variance (accounting); Public information","routes":{"ca_aff":false,"ca_fund":false,"ca_venue":false,"about_ca":true,"invisible_to_affiliation_only":true},"retraction":null,"screen":null,"direct_labels":[],"prediction":{"model_version":"codex-gemma-dda1882f352a","candidate_categories":["insufficient_payload"],"consensus_categories":[],"category_scores_codex":[0.000460809,0.0001361442,0.0002327669,0.000115575,0.0002839818,0.000007871634,0.0005528444,0.00006188574,0.001016598],"category_scores_gemma":[0.00005696667,0.0001566429,0.00009486602,0.0004311818,0.0005100045,0.0001686394,0.0006223711,0.0003930449,0.000588869],"about_ca_system_candidate":false,"about_ca_system_consensus":false,"about_ca_system_score_codex":0.0001161212,"about_ca_system_score_gemma":0.00001570841,"about_ca_topic_candidate":false,"about_ca_topic_consensus":false,"about_ca_topic_score_codex":0.0007965053,"about_ca_topic_score_gemma":0.001625345,"domain_scores_codex":[0.9983799,0.0002684314,0.0001744408,0.0004077326,0.000383007,0.000386503],"domain_scores_gemma":[0.9992808,0.0002272871,0.0001035279,0.0001927657,0.00001603664,0.0001796334],"domain_codex":null,"domain_gemma":null,"domain_candidate":null,"domain_consensus":null,"study_design_codex":"observational","study_design_gemma":"observational","study_design_scores_codex":[0.001447932,0.0004512628,0.8814713,0.0002885163,0.0003254542,0.0003926739,0.0325137,0.01955915,0.000816951,0.04005052,0.003918717,0.01876383],"study_design_scores_gemma":[0.007959303,0.0007237563,0.6721024,0.0001295115,0.0001574776,0.000002766387,0.01139705,0.1105317,0.0004134701,0.03781892,0.157748,0.001015662],"study_design_candidate":"observational","study_design_consensus":"observational","genre_codex":"empirical","genre_gemma":"empirical","genre_scores_codex":[0.853753,0.0001550453,0.01445316,0.003820253,0.0001926372,0.0008518464,0.00008627812,0.0000922286,0.1265956],"genre_scores_gemma":[0.9938254,0.002288946,0.002734121,0.00006365587,0.00003121002,0.000001611781,0.00001268682,0.00001152598,0.001030851],"genre_candidate":"empirical","genre_consensus":"empirical","teacher_disagreement_score":0.2093689,"threshold_uncertainty_score":0.9998966,"prediction_status":"machine_predicted_unvalidated"},"machine_scores":{"provisional":true,"baseline":true,"maturity_gate_passed":false,"score_opus":0.01131029840727556,"score_gpt":0.2138784604948168,"score_spread":0.2025681620875412,"validation_status":"score_only:v0-immature-baseline","note":"Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed). Scores rank; they never assert a category."}}