{"id":"W7052077675","doi":"","title":"Prediction for Prevention: Fighting the Hard Problem of Conflict Forecasting","year":2019,"lang":"es","type":"other","venue":"DIGITAL.CSIC (Spanish National Research Council (CSIC))","topic":"Magnetic confinement fusion research","field":"Physics and Astronomy","cited_by":0,"is_retracted":false,"has_abstract":true,"ca_institutions":"","funders":"","keywords":"Key (lock); Work (physics); Term (time); Measure (data warehouse)","routes":{"ca_aff":false,"ca_fund":false,"ca_venue":false,"about_ca":true,"invisible_to_affiliation_only":true},"retraction":null,"screen":null,"direct_labels":[],"prediction":{"model_version":"codex-gemma-dda1882f352a","candidate_categories":["metaepi_narrow","scholarly_communication","insufficient_payload"],"consensus_categories":[],"category_scores_codex":[0.01224954,0.0006709247,0.000804684,0.000518628,0.0007917571,0.001493941,0.001483268,0.0003669613,0.036525],"category_scores_gemma":[0.006983813,0.0005639066,0.0006300846,0.001095393,0.0006696162,0.0003080887,0.0008170432,0.001289891,0.0004917805],"about_ca_system_candidate":true,"about_ca_system_consensus":false,"about_ca_system_score_codex":0.001173132,"about_ca_system_score_gemma":0.0161213,"about_ca_topic_candidate":false,"about_ca_topic_consensus":false,"about_ca_topic_score_codex":0.0002845073,"about_ca_topic_score_gemma":0.00008231566,"domain_scores_codex":[0.9769703,0.0003659077,0.001419943,0.001305201,0.01854375,0.001394941],"domain_scores_gemma":[0.9667835,0.00432372,0.0009465813,0.0008497065,0.02677791,0.0003186135],"domain_codex":null,"domain_gemma":null,"domain_candidate":null,"domain_consensus":null,"study_design_codex":"not_applicable","study_design_gemma":"not_applicable","study_design_scores_codex":[0.0002433643,0.0006386031,0.0005909772,0.001209967,0.0006461372,0.000002052957,0.0003949805,0.00009043984,0.0004375173,0.03447711,0.7150674,0.2462014],"study_design_scores_gemma":[0.002058652,0.0007602609,0.0004653666,0.001558507,0.00006515834,0.000002941119,0.0009053997,0.009062548,0.000136708,0.003866821,0.9806738,0.0004437946],"study_design_candidate":"not_applicable","study_design_consensus":"not_applicable","genre_codex":"other","genre_gemma":"other","genre_scores_codex":[0.0008879975,0.0005563152,0.001445618,0.002136878,0.0003364704,0.008106604,0.004821268,0.00006047315,0.9816484],"genre_scores_gemma":[0.06969941,0.0001701103,0.000640329,0.0000579319,0.002585364,0.002085887,0.001279088,0.0003173777,0.9231645],"genre_candidate":"other","genre_consensus":"other","teacher_disagreement_score":0.2656064,"threshold_uncertainty_score":0.9996812,"prediction_status":"machine_predicted_unvalidated"},"machine_scores":{"provisional":true,"baseline":true,"maturity_gate_passed":false,"score_opus":0.2466759539343713,"score_gpt":0.3457924907165214,"score_spread":0.09911653678215007,"validation_status":"score_only:v0-immature-baseline","note":"Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed). Scores rank; they never assert a category."}}