{"id":"W7055428644","doi":"","title":"Current accuracy is not always the best predictor of future accuracy: The consequences of dissociable bias and precision components","year":2023,"lang":"en","type":"article","venue":"","topic":"Magnetic confinement fusion research","field":"Physics and Astronomy","cited_by":0,"is_retracted":false,"has_abstract":true,"ca_institutions":"McMaster University","funders":"","keywords":"Accuracy and precision; Covariate; Observational error; Measure (data warehouse); Random error; Diagnostic accuracy; Term (time)","routes":{"ca_aff":true,"ca_fund":false,"ca_venue":false,"about_ca":false,"invisible_to_affiliation_only":false},"retraction":null,"screen":null,"direct_labels":[],"prediction":{"model_version":"metacan-v3-hybrid-931329e0061c","candidate_categories":["metaresearch"],"consensus_categories":[],"category_scores_codex":[0.01480396,0.0007746602,0.00170329,0.0007421771,0.0006517901,0.002625654,0.001435142,0.0014236,0.002298428],"category_scores_gemma":[0.08944615,0.001157243,0.001442489,0.0005909849,0.002549815,0.003717358,0.003439864,0.002932332,0.0004026977],"about_ca_system_candidate":false,"about_ca_system_consensus":false,"about_ca_system_score_codex":0.0008134522,"about_ca_system_score_gemma":0.001621155,"about_ca_topic_candidate":false,"about_ca_topic_consensus":false,"about_ca_topic_score_codex":0.006512764,"about_ca_topic_score_gemma":0.005735141,"domain_scores_codex":[0.9940332,0.001838203,0.0007185248,0.001790667,0.0009849141,0.0006344999],"domain_scores_gemma":[0.9387382,0.03583246,0.005474227,0.01524721,0.002036068,0.002671836],"domain_codex":null,"domain_gemma":"methods","domain_candidate":"methods","domain_consensus":null,"study_design_codex":"observational","study_design_gemma":"theoretical_or_conceptual","study_design_scores_codex":[0.006921521,0.001179216,0.7565824,0.000568262,0.002131663,0.0003536396,0.00214645,0.0882187,0.0471708,0.00820531,0.001300838,0.08522118],"study_design_scores_gemma":[0.0004456296,0.002397255,0.7679562,0.0001858019,0.0007593758,0.0003327734,0.0006371001,0.1742269,0.01765988,0.03364399,0.001472678,0.0002825558],"study_design_candidate":"theoretical_or_conceptual","study_design_consensus":null,"genre_codex":"empirical","genre_gemma":"empirical","genre_scores_codex":[0.9759485,0.000260613,0.021391,0.0003729017,0.00004597584,0.00006299177,0.0002618993,0.0001208683,0.001535268],"genre_scores_gemma":[0.9931658,0.00005911591,0.005927548,0.0001209318,0.00001156123,0.00007640856,0.0002800665,0.00006858684,0.000289899],"genre_candidate":"empirical","genre_consensus":"empirical","teacher_disagreement_score":0.9851961,"threshold_uncertainty_score":0.07829177,"prediction_status":"machine_predicted_unvalidated"},"machine_scores":{"provisional":true,"baseline":true,"maturity_gate_passed":false,"score_opus":0.06447610618876963,"score_gpt":0.3303721334884152,"score_spread":0.2658960272996455,"validation_status":"score_only:v0-immature-baseline","note":"Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed). Scores rank; they never assert a category."}}