{"id":"W7095589960","doi":"","title":"2003): "Forecast Evaluation with Cross-Sectional Data: The Blue Chip Surveys," Federal Reserve Bank of Atlanta, Economic Review, Second Quarter 2003","year":2013,"lang":"en","type":"article","venue":"","topic":"Scottish History and National Identity","field":"Arts and Humanities","cited_by":0,"is_retracted":false,"has_abstract":true,"ca_institutions":"","funders":"","keywords":"Variable (mathematics); Quarter (Canadian coin); Vice president; Monetary policy; Set (abstract data type); Variables; Economic forecasting","routes":{"ca_aff":false,"ca_fund":false,"ca_venue":false,"about_ca":true,"invisible_to_affiliation_only":true},"retraction":null,"screen":null,"direct_labels":[],"prediction":{"model_version":"metacan-v3-hybrid-931329e0061c","candidate_categories":["insufficient_payload"],"consensus_categories":[],"category_scores_codex":[0.01033646,0.0004468394,0.0004344435,0.002491263,0.0008479543,0.004094804,0.001067883,0.002915945,0.01819004],"category_scores_gemma":[0.04201441,0.0007546196,0.0003142282,0.007747347,0.000847162,0.004616364,0.0008446364,0.001563114,0.01625057],"about_ca_system_candidate":false,"about_ca_system_consensus":false,"about_ca_system_score_codex":0.003840715,"about_ca_system_score_gemma":0.005340558,"about_ca_topic_candidate":false,"about_ca_topic_consensus":false,"about_ca_topic_score_codex":0.1343333,"about_ca_topic_score_gemma":0.2477683,"domain_scores_codex":[0.99703,0.001105441,0.0003894616,0.000157433,0.001091367,0.0002262165],"domain_scores_gemma":[0.9697048,0.01269402,0.002654048,0.001446145,0.01287898,0.0006220458],"domain_codex":null,"domain_gemma":null,"domain_candidate":null,"domain_consensus":null,"study_design_codex":"not_applicable","study_design_gemma":"not_applicable","study_design_scores_codex":[0.00002238985,0.00001533062,0.004503088,0.00007455958,0.000006937032,0.00001803733,0.0001238012,0.0002077459,0.00003476905,0.002422903,0.9470094,0.04556109],"study_design_scores_gemma":[0.00006519946,0.00008429491,0.09722359,0.001072117,0.0000518713,0.00008067214,0.001105471,0.002677814,0.001039333,0.009435205,0.8870587,0.0001057319],"study_design_candidate":"not_applicable","study_design_consensus":"not_applicable","genre_codex":"commentary","genre_gemma":"other","genre_scores_codex":[0.03374606,0.1076639,0.04755818,0.4232531,0.01423191,0.001065968,0.1338596,0.002347805,0.2362737],"genre_scores_gemma":[0.3316685,0.1138559,0.06469128,0.08975472,0.006228069,0.003485503,0.05198246,0.002005078,0.3363285],"genre_candidate":"other","genre_consensus":null,"teacher_disagreement_score":0.98181,"threshold_uncertainty_score":0.2671028,"prediction_status":"machine_predicted_unvalidated"},"machine_scores":{"provisional":true,"baseline":true,"maturity_gate_passed":false,"score_opus":0.1145611832494553,"score_gpt":0.3104806569003816,"score_spread":0.1959194736509263,"validation_status":"score_only:v0-immature-baseline","note":"Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed). Scores rank; they never assert a category."}}