{"id":"W7096231231","doi":"","title":"1 VERIFICATION OF STATISTICAL AVALANCHE FORECASTING BASED ON NUMERICAL WEATHER PREDICTION INPUTS","year":2016,"lang":"en","type":"article","venue":"","topic":"Landslides and related hazards","field":"Environmental Science","cited_by":0,"is_retracted":false,"has_abstract":true,"ca_institutions":"","funders":"","keywords":"National weather service; Model output statistics; Christian ministry; Global Forecast System; Surface weather observation; Weather forecasting","routes":{"ca_aff":false,"ca_fund":false,"ca_venue":false,"about_ca":true,"invisible_to_affiliation_only":true},"retraction":null,"screen":null,"direct_labels":[],"prediction":{"model_version":"metacan-v3-hybrid-931329e0061c","candidate_categories":[],"consensus_categories":[],"category_scores_codex":[0.003069276,0.0005679717,0.0003561818,0.0006067033,0.0005269924,0.0007874396,0.0008910838,0.0004349656,0.003431618],"category_scores_gemma":[0.01253901,0.0002486871,0.0003478634,0.0005559535,0.0004424413,0.0007552818,0.0004464715,0.0004757892,0.0006449866],"about_ca_system_candidate":false,"about_ca_system_consensus":false,"about_ca_system_score_codex":0.001490565,"about_ca_system_score_gemma":0.002050741,"about_ca_topic_candidate":false,"about_ca_topic_consensus":false,"about_ca_topic_score_codex":0.06720305,"about_ca_topic_score_gemma":0.02222716,"domain_scores_codex":[0.9988914,0.0002717877,0.0001118421,0.0002241121,0.0004056269,0.00009531595],"domain_scores_gemma":[0.989661,0.005359657,0.0006164004,0.001025519,0.003144188,0.0001932561],"domain_codex":null,"domain_gemma":null,"domain_candidate":null,"domain_consensus":null,"study_design_codex":"simulation_or_modeling","study_design_gemma":"simulation_or_modeling","study_design_scores_codex":[0.0008652902,0.0002746866,0.0811774,0.00009371015,0.00007263616,0.00007539494,0.00004553129,0.8873299,0.00602243,0.0008813409,0.0009891612,0.02217256],"study_design_scores_gemma":[0.00004493507,0.0001130418,0.01133796,0.000007576989,0.000007512907,0.00001499071,0.00001455715,0.982645,0.005413603,0.0001584222,0.0002329078,0.000009637723],"study_design_candidate":"simulation_or_modeling","study_design_consensus":"simulation_or_modeling","genre_codex":"empirical","genre_gemma":"empirical","genre_scores_codex":[0.9589424,0.00007020898,0.02989741,0.000206283,0.0001010753,0.00009333361,0.002160136,0.00249155,0.00603768],"genre_scores_gemma":[0.9950345,0.00001112338,0.003821015,0.000007729742,0.000003987279,0.00001597004,0.0008535906,0.00001610958,0.000236039],"genre_candidate":"empirical","genre_consensus":"empirical","teacher_disagreement_score":0.06720305,"threshold_uncertainty_score":0.1336238,"prediction_status":"machine_predicted_unvalidated"},"machine_scores":{"provisional":true,"baseline":true,"maturity_gate_passed":false,"score_opus":0.01186233188983743,"score_gpt":0.2126787980890275,"score_spread":0.20081646619919,"validation_status":"score_only:v0-immature-baseline","note":"Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed). Scores rank; they never assert a category."}}