{"id":"W7096309678","doi":"","title":"E conomic T heoryCurrency Futures and Currency Crises ∗","year":2004,"lang":"en","type":"article","venue":"","topic":"Financial Risk and Volatility Modeling","field":"Economics, Econometrics and Finance","cited_by":0,"is_retracted":false,"has_abstract":true,"ca_institutions":"","funders":"","keywords":"Futures contract; Currency; Foreign exchange risk; Linkage (software); Foreign exchange market; Forward market; Algorithmic trading; Open outcry; Trading strategy","routes":{"ca_aff":false,"ca_fund":false,"ca_venue":false,"about_ca":true,"invisible_to_affiliation_only":true},"retraction":null,"screen":null,"direct_labels":[],"prediction":{"model_version":"codex-gemma-dda1882f352a","candidate_categories":[],"consensus_categories":[],"category_scores_codex":[0.0002079125,0.0001285089,0.0002599791,0.0001195664,0.0001474942,0.00005752429,0.0001096544,0.0000739464,0.0002465826],"category_scores_gemma":[0.00007508392,0.0001419087,0.00006307248,0.00008429107,0.00005818343,0.0002419929,0.00004583145,0.0001163193,0.000304307],"about_ca_system_candidate":false,"about_ca_system_consensus":false,"about_ca_system_score_codex":0.0000423804,"about_ca_system_score_gemma":0.00002380123,"about_ca_topic_candidate":false,"about_ca_topic_consensus":false,"about_ca_topic_score_codex":0.0007613092,"about_ca_topic_score_gemma":0.0001074117,"domain_scores_codex":[0.9989997,0.000003796008,0.0004073556,0.0003502613,0.00001517981,0.0002236752],"domain_scores_gemma":[0.9995995,0.00001886284,0.0001004418,0.0001893586,0.00001599729,0.00007585904],"domain_codex":null,"domain_gemma":null,"domain_candidate":null,"domain_consensus":null,"study_design_codex":"theoretical_or_conceptual","study_design_gemma":"theoretical_or_conceptual","study_design_scores_codex":[0.0000063745,0.000043725,0.02974664,0.00001733879,0.000006703747,7.082524e-7,0.0004359271,0.00009511707,0.000005319105,0.9635519,0.000209968,0.005880276],"study_design_scores_gemma":[0.0009099682,0.00007855162,0.05056909,0.00001988897,0.000004674007,0.000004015039,0.0001541766,0.001714183,0.00009593873,0.9229364,0.0231162,0.0003968418],"study_design_candidate":"theoretical_or_conceptual","study_design_consensus":"theoretical_or_conceptual","genre_codex":"empirical","genre_gemma":"empirical","genre_scores_codex":[0.9378636,0.01073964,0.02378535,0.0005077109,0.0005757462,0.0001355946,0.00005786045,0.00007224539,0.02626221],"genre_scores_gemma":[0.9967469,0.001129399,0.001634502,0.0001571511,0.0001265797,0.000008627171,0.000005461687,0.00001150576,0.0001798704],"genre_candidate":"empirical","genre_consensus":"empirical","teacher_disagreement_score":0.05888325,"threshold_uncertainty_score":0.578687,"prediction_status":"machine_predicted_unvalidated"},"machine_scores":{"provisional":true,"baseline":true,"maturity_gate_passed":false,"score_opus":0.04508938422644952,"score_gpt":0.2388985670734867,"score_spread":0.1938091828470372,"validation_status":"score_only:v0-immature-baseline","note":"Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed). Scores rank; they never assert a category."}}