{"id":"W7096309678","doi":"","title":"E conomic T heoryCurrency Futures and Currency Crises ∗","year":2004,"lang":"en","type":"article","venue":"","topic":"Financial Risk and Volatility Modeling","field":"Economics, Econometrics and Finance","cited_by":0,"is_retracted":false,"has_abstract":true,"ca_institutions":"","funders":"","keywords":"Futures contract; Currency; Foreign exchange risk; Linkage (software); Foreign exchange market; Forward market; Algorithmic trading; Open outcry; Trading strategy","routes":{"ca_aff":false,"ca_fund":false,"ca_venue":false,"about_ca":true,"invisible_to_affiliation_only":true},"retraction":null,"screen":null,"direct_labels":[],"prediction":{"model_version":"metacan-v3-hybrid-931329e0061c","candidate_categories":[],"consensus_categories":[],"category_scores_codex":[0.0004783848,0.0002576581,0.0001829869,0.0004102478,0.0002498049,0.001167539,0.0001455319,0.0005529778,0.00412514],"category_scores_gemma":[0.003259224,0.00008168383,0.0001276188,0.0007368132,0.0003893521,0.001255386,0.0005447579,0.000417235,0.0001709622],"about_ca_system_candidate":false,"about_ca_system_consensus":false,"about_ca_system_score_codex":0.0003051767,"about_ca_system_score_gemma":0.0002605258,"about_ca_topic_candidate":false,"about_ca_topic_consensus":false,"about_ca_topic_score_codex":0.001549907,"about_ca_topic_score_gemma":0.001415383,"domain_scores_codex":[0.9998816,0.00005609736,0.000008333866,0.00001285748,0.0000220817,0.00001906579],"domain_scores_gemma":[0.9988829,0.0006078957,0.0003321959,0.00003647952,0.000067749,0.00007272358],"domain_codex":null,"domain_gemma":null,"domain_candidate":null,"domain_consensus":null,"study_design_codex":"theoretical_or_conceptual","study_design_gemma":"theoretical_or_conceptual","study_design_scores_codex":[0.001282847,0.0003319465,0.2515933,0.000702909,0.0002098473,0.004070819,0.001428675,0.08906773,0.007830938,0.406276,0.01231769,0.2248873],"study_design_scores_gemma":[0.00007633018,0.0003943686,0.2169696,0.0002331591,0.0001112236,0.002571117,0.001855765,0.1939502,0.003194354,0.5530404,0.02754059,0.00006298385],"study_design_candidate":"theoretical_or_conceptual","study_design_consensus":"theoretical_or_conceptual","genre_codex":"empirical","genre_gemma":"empirical","genre_scores_codex":[0.9527338,0.01150479,0.008502444,0.004522773,0.0001575031,0.000009820709,0.0002563726,0.00004211758,0.02227046],"genre_scores_gemma":[0.9947048,0.002547986,0.0006143581,0.00006826985,0.00008182279,0.000003134746,0.00008263151,0.000004695962,0.001892318],"genre_candidate":"empirical","genre_consensus":"empirical","teacher_disagreement_score":0.00412514,"threshold_uncertainty_score":0.01379997,"prediction_status":"machine_predicted_unvalidated"},"machine_scores":{"provisional":true,"baseline":true,"maturity_gate_passed":false,"score_opus":0.04508938422644952,"score_gpt":0.2388985670734867,"score_spread":0.1938091828470372,"validation_status":"score_only:v0-immature-baseline","note":"Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed). Scores rank; they never assert a category."}}